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Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
DarknessNJ replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Oh boy when the navgem matches the euro. That’s when I get interested... gfs is just useless. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BL74 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Yes -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
showmethesnow replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Now that the GFS's idea that our Friday's system could potentially be a pattern change storm is all but dead, let's try the Euro's version. Except for a momentary lapse, the Euro has been keying on the potential this coming Monday for a week or so now. This is the setup leading into this storm on the overnight EPS. Typically this would be a high probability look for very meaningful impacts, potentially widespread, for in the East. But this winter so far, with such an active pattern where NS energy has been running interference, who's to say. But I would take this look any day of the week and e -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
PB GFI replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
The 30 to 40 hour precip ideas on the models have me thinking, overrunning then backside phase. Feb 03 ish ? -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
earthlight replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Morning gang. Long way to go, but this is about as classic of a signal for a significant winter storm threat as you will see on an ensemble mean at this lead time. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
I realllly hope, AT THIS CURRENT TIME, that those eps are correct lol -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
PB GFI replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
I think it's because the EPS comes off Hatteras. The GEFS takes a more direct route, doesn't dig as much and comes off the Delmarva. So it's just quicker. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Rtd208 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
The Euro has a tendency to run slow so I would lean more on the GFS timing wise but we'll see. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
PB GFI replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
The GFS is full day faster than the Euro. 40 hours of precip. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Does the 18z only go to hr90 as well? -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Rtd208 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Alot to digest here over the next 2-3 days. The overnight Euro was impressive but I am not ready to completely bite yet. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Snowman11 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Gfs is still disorganized and north. Way different than the other models. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BL74 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Like 7’ish, eps at 8. But the 6z op only goes out to 90, eps to 144 -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Rtd208 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Well the forum members along the coast certainly will not like the 06z GFS including myself. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Rtd208 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Looks like some timing differences among the models. Some have the storm starting on Sunday while others have it starting on Monday. Those timing differences should get resolved over the next 2-3 days as long as the storm doesn't get suppressed to our south. -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Coach K replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
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Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Curious for sure then -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Snowman11 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Eps goes out to 144 -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Snowman11 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Sits and spins -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Oh ok..not in range quiiite yet..thanks -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Snowman11 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Goes out to 90 hours -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
You know what time the 6z EURO comes out? -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Snowman11 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
6z Para Some of that snow to the north is from today -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BrandonAsbury replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Btw FWIW..especially for @George..the 0z NAVY went full beast mode -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
BL74 replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Much better transfer of the secondary, down by va beach/OBX, then heads north east from there.