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Showing most liked content on 09/05/2021 in all areas

  1. test1
    It def seems like you could historically rely on a cold front coming through to reset things for a while... Not so much these past few years. When it does happen, it's almost nostalgic, lol.
    6 likes
  2. test1
    I spy first opportunity for flurries for @MesoBandingon or about 9/21.
    5 likes
  3. test1
    Yeah, it seems like we don't get a traditional frontal passage with thunderstorms and then a few fair days anymore. We get stalled fronts that produce storms for days on end.
    5 likes
  4. test1
    I was just at a get together and this topic came up. Where are the days when we have a heat wave or warmer/humid period of weather washed away by a nice front. They seem to not exist anymore. These fronts get caught up and then move back as warm fronts and we’re left with crappy weather for days. I feel like this has happened countless times this summer. it’s so annoying!
    4 likes
  5. test1
    I mean it makes logical sense the QBO Index would continue to go deeper into negative values since it's usually a 27 month cycle. Some of those predicted values are near 2017 - 2018 winter QBO values which is very interesting to say the least...
    4 likes
  6. test1
    Hope it stays that way. Each week we can get through this month without heat, our climo drops considerably, making it more difficult for prolonged heat waves. I think we’re mostly in the clear as far as deep summer weather goes.
    3 likes
  7. test1
    It seems to have lost any mid month heat as well
    3 likes
  8. test1
    Last two runs of GFS have introduced a large cold front around the 20th-21st. Hopefully that means our mid September rebound is cut short. If that front comes through, might bring true fall weather (60s/40s splits around here)
    3 likes
  9. test1
    I hope so. My hair can't deal with this humidity for much longer.
    2 likes
  10. test1
    This tweet from Dr. Ventrice is strongly misleading IMHO. MJO and Kelvin wave pattern favors an active second half of Sep in the tropical Atlantic.
    2 likes
  11. test1
    Believe it or not it's even more dramatic than what is shown here because the mother almost drowned as did one of the sons almost drown as well.and they just barely made it out of there alive as they were pulled out. Just an incredible situation scary as hell.
    2 likes
  12. test1
    @Mr. KevinYou're seeing the lag effect at 50mb as it has to propagate down from 30mb... The dataset I posted was the 30mb QBO index values. Regardless if you read off the 2021 monthly values you can see that overtime both are going in the negative (easterly) direction...
    2 likes
  13. test1
    I’ll close my eyes…
    2 likes
  14. test1
    Leaves should start turning up north this week
    2 likes
  15. test1
    The GFS lost the mid month heat but the Euro has it (see below). Don't be surprised if the GFS brings it back. Also, looking at the NCEP 8-14 day discussion--they have us heating up as well. WX/PT
    1 like
  16. test1
    Tranquil and mainly dry weather will continue through much of next week. Some light rain is possible late Wednesday into Thursday, but the recent guidance has become even less impressed with the precipitation potential. Despite a cooler than normal first 7-10 days, September will likely feature near normal to somewhat warmer than normal temperatures in much of the region. The second half of the month could feature some much above normal temperatures. Fall 2021 will likely be wetter to much wetter than normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region. Since 1869, there have
    1 like
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