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Showing most liked content on 10/12/2021 in all areas

  1. test1
    I, for one, am in the on the early winter train. Mid to late winter has too many mixed signals. However, I will say this: a weak, east-based la nina with high latitude blocking sure looks likely this winter. Something inside me says Miller B's and Alberta Clippers will be returning with a vengeance, something we haven't truly seen in a while around these parts
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  2. test1
    Yeah. I was suspecting this may happen at some point, but the question is: What's driving the Eastern Ridging to go poleward?
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  3. test1
    Euro is going to have another upgrade today
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  4. test1
    Talk about Meridional Jet Structure.
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  5. test1
    Morning thoughts… It will be partly to mostly cloudy and milder. High temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 69° Newark: 73° Philadelphia: 72° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 65.8°; 15-Year: 66.9° Newark: 30-Year: 67.4°; 15-Year: 68.7° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 68.7°; 15-Year: 69.6° A generally warmer than normal regime will continue into the weekend before a strong cold moves across the region.
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  6. test1
    FDA meets this week for MRNA and JNJ booster discussion.
    2 likes
  7. test1
    Just a couple of quick comments... I agree with some comments here and elsewhere that I could really take or leave a major strat warming event this early. If the vortex is stretched and kind of weak it's fine, but for the reason's Simon Lee laid out in his tweet thread linked on the previous page it's not necessarily good to have a major warming this early, and may be bad. A lot of EPS weekly members from Thursday's runs have a lack of MJO activity into the Pacific later this month, but show windows for an MJO to possibly propagate out of the Indian Ocean at some point next month.
    2 likes
  8. test1
    Saturday/Sunday cold front come though and more fall like tempsEnlarge this image Click to see fullsizeFrom perspective weather on tweeter image
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  9. test1
    I got a 92/100 on my first Synoptic Meteorology Exam.
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  13. test1
    Drier air moved into the region allowing for partly sunny skies and mild readings in the 70s. Newark reached 70° for the 165th time this year. As a result, 2021 is tied for 11th place with 1990 and 2017. Tomorrow will likely be a similar day. Sunshine and much above normal temperatures are likely from mid-week into the start of the weekend. Overall, the generally warm regime will continue into weekend before a strong cold front ushers in cooler readings. In the wake of the frontal passage, readings will return to near normal levels. Fall 2021 will likely be wetter to mu
    1 like
  14. test1
    Here's an article on the strat warming event underway. I do not agree with everything said in this article. https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/early-stratospheric-warming-polar-vortex-forecast-cold-season-fa/ Below is a fascinating thread to read by an PhD atmospheric scientist on this. I highly encourage to click & read his tweets in his thread:
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  15. test1
    Going back to my doctor in December to see if I still have antibodies from the 2nd shot.
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  16. test1
    An offshore storm brought clouds, a stiff east-northeasterly wind, and some light rain to the region. Rainfall amounts included: Atlantic City: 0.03"; Bridgeport: 0.04"; Islip: 0.11"; New York City: 0.11"; Newark: 0.33"; and, Philadelphia: 0.03". The rainfall at Central Park pushed the 2021 total to 52.22". That surpassed the 52.13" that fell in 1979 as New York City's 32nd highest annual figure on record. Warmer and drier air will start to return tomorrow, but it will be partly to mostly cloudy. Sunshine and much above normal temperatures are likely around mid-week. Overall, the g
    1 like
  17. test1
    nice. curious to see when moderna will be recommended.
    1 like
  18. test1
    Got my booster today
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  19. test1
    2011-12 had a much weaker -QBO that became stronger in the winter...2021 is allready at that point and still falling...so the qbo might be stronger or going in opposite directions...it doesn't mean the winter can't suck...now if we get a halloween snowstorm all bets are off...
    1 like
  20. test1
    That winter was brutal . I appreciate all the long range forecasts but after the last 2 winters , I take them with a grain of salt.
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  21. test1
    this could be the year NYC has snow on the ground for Christmas...in recent years the city got snow before Christmas but it melted by Christmas day...last year was a week to early... 2008.. 2013... 2016... 2017... 2020... ..................................................................................................................................................................................... most of the winters with an inch of snow on the ground for Christmas were good to great winters...there have been winters with less than 20" of snow with snow on
    1 like
  22. test1
    Look folks! Nice autumn blast incoming around 10/22. This date has been pretty sticky on the gfs.
    1 like
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