In all seriousness the question you have to ask yourself is, does it make meteorological sense and the answer is of course yes. -qbo rising to positive, (hopefully) central based nino (modoki) npac warm pool, low sea ice in Kara sea (-AO?), low solar. The only domain in my opinion in which there is major question is NAO. Even in mid October Still some things that can go wrong. Heck even the NAO in a super negative state for most of winter could screw us and reward the mid Atlantic. I have a lot of optimism at this time however and once we get into early and mid Nov we should begin to see the writing on the wall.