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Snow

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    Brooklyn, NY

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  1. I dunno, according to HRRR you should be done with accumulating snow.... 3 hours ago.
  2. What this storm should have told anybody is that: HRRR is freaking trash. Snowing heavy and fast here in Bushwick, Brooklyn.
  3. He could, but I'm pretty sure he means Mid Atlantic
  4. 4.3" in Central Park! Dang it looks like it could hit a foot+
  5. This storm to begin with was convoluted and had many moving parts. Each model has its bias, weak points and strengths that, if you know them well enough, you can begin to create your own ideas. (aka the NavGem rule is one since its typically the most progressive). Doesnt always work, but it gives you a good starting point. But it really just goes back to that mathematical equations cannot be 100% correct for something as chaotic as weather.
  6. This storm is really murdering the models. Comes to show how important OBS is and how it should be placed wayyy ahead of what model output is. -Snowing in Bushwick Brooklyn. Probably about 1.5-2" and everything is covered.
  7. Speaking of rain in NYC... it's snowing lightly in Brooklyn,
  8. Will it be the 12Z NavGem with the coup about not having the elongated double barrel low.
  9. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    FWIW, SPC Mesoscale is also 4MB weaker than what the NAM had at that placement.
  10. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    Surface temps should be fine, especially with the dynamics at play and the dry air that was in place before. Also with a more uniform CCB, subsidence shouldnt be as big as a problem as what we saw last storm.
  11. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    Even if it does sleet, that will help the snow stick even more. Brings the ground temperatures down to at and below freezing faster than snowflakes. (unless its pounding them)
  12. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    Yea, I'm hopeful that can help combat with the UHI which has been the bane for us on some of these past storms (as well as subsidence.. NYC has just not been very lucky)
  13. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    Goodnight all, the 6Z guidance should be fun and the 12Z should really (hopefully) get us into better alignment on what to expect with the multiple pieces of energy. Ill leave you with a surface shot that Ryan Maue tweeted: Looks like a good time.
  14. Snow

    March 20-22 Winter Storm Threat Part I

    500MB And as i say that i look back and someone posted it.
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