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Gravity Wave

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About Gravity Wave

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    Chelsea, NYC

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  1. So the IMHE/Washington model that I've been following and that the government has been referencing constantly was supposed to update yesterday. It didn't, and all references to the update are gone on the site. Their Twitter feed has been silent on the matter as well. Anyone want to guess what is going on? The model's death predictions were fairly accurate but it seemed to way overshoot on the number of hospital and ICU beds that were needed.
  2. Yup, and don't forget the repeated assurances from NYC health officials in February and even early March that there was little to worry about.
  3. One of my good friends who stayed in the city probably had it a few weeks ago, along with his GF. Both in their late 20s, good health. Low fewer, soreness, some chest tightness. Said that after 5 days they felt normal again.
  4. I have family in Pittsburgh that suspects they had it in February. Cough, fever, shortness of breath. They said it didn't feel like anything they'd had before and that it knocked them out for several days.
  5. According to the UWashington model, the speed of the decline is going to be similar to the speed of the ascent. It predicts that deaths are going to peak in a week in the city. The number of new hospital admissions should be declining very soon if that's the case.
  6. The UWashington mode, which is currently projecting 93,000 deaths in the US from coronavirus, appears to be significantly overestimating the number of hospital beds which are occupied, at least in NY state. Yesterday there were 12,000 hospitalized and the model projected 51,000. Is this only because of a lack of capacity or is the model too pessimistic? http://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
  7. Cuomo's predictions for both the peak and the hospital/ventilation numbers are much more pessimistic than the UWashington model that the feds are using. We'll find out in the next 10 days who is right. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
  8. I think that people who were able to keep their jobs during the quarantine will be desperate to do anything outside of their house once they feel relatively safe in doing so. Hopefully that surge in demand will help jump start the economy. I know personally that my spending has gone through the floor during the last month even as my salary has been stable and I'm fantasizing about going somewhere (in the northern hemisphere) this summer.
  9. My blood pressure flirts with mild hypertension at times, so I'm somewhat concerned despite my age. I don't take any medication. I assume that more severe hypertension is a bigger risk factor?
  10. Yeah I'm sure the number of people the average judge interacts with really increases their risk.
  11. Pennsylvania is at a 10.6% hospitalization rate, which strikes me as strange given that NY has done far more testing and still has a considerably higher hospitalization rate. What gives?
  12. It's concerning but organized crime is still a force to be reckoned with in parts of Italy.
  13. I've read similar things, I really hope this isn't another false hope.
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