Jump to content

ThomeWx

Enthusiast
  • Content Count

    20
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

37 Excellent

About ThomeWx

  • Rank
    Member
  • Birthday September 25

Personal Information

  • Location
    Asheville, NC

Recent Profile Visitors

15 profile views
  1. ThomeWx

    ***Winter Countdown Thread 2018-2019***

    Hey, I know I'm not too active on this site, I'm more of a listener than someone who likes to talk especially with all of the talent you guys have on here, but here is my winter outlook. Now it's a little simplified so that most people can understand what I'm saying, but I do make my opinions heard. Please give me constructive criticism as well.
  2. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    I know Eric Webb says that for upper end cat 4 and cat 5 hurricanes, the normal correlation between flight level winds and surface level winds begins to break down.
  3. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if it's a cat 4 before midnight.
  4. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    Yeah, they said it was closed at around seven, but this dropsonde was at 7:35. I agree that it's really close if not already fixing itself, but you can see on satellite representations that there are slightly warmer cloudtops in the SE eyewall
  5. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    There are some thunderstorms in southern SC and central GA right now.
  6. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    I mean, just look at the last few hours of the dvorak loop. It has been trying all day to wrap the cdo fully around the center, and now it's actually doing that: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=14L&product=ir-dvorak
  7. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    If/When the eye comes through, this storm is going to be the best I've seen on Dvorak. I haven't been watching weather for a long time, but even last year, the storms didn't have cloud tops this cold.
  8. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    Found 90 knot (105 mph) winds at the surface, and this was also backed up by the estimated surface level winds. we got a cat 2 at least. probably a cat 3 within the next few hours. dropped 4 mb from last pass.
  9. ThomeWx

    Historic Category 4 Hurricane Michael

    Yep, it looks like this storm is just about to intensify extremely quickly
  10. ThomeWx

    ***Winter Countdown Thread 2018-2019***

    Here is some more updated information compared to the one @mbaer1970 posted. I included both the ENSO 1+2, and the ENSO 3.4 for comparison.
×