Rtd208

Yeah I wasn't buying into any snow closer to the NYC metro, but the storm is certainly there on the Euro which is all I am looking for at this point.

It will be interesting to see if we will be dealing with two storms, one around the time frame you mentioned above and the other around the 29th-30th.

While it may not necessarily mean anything I am not a fan of October snow, just looks what happened in 2011 which burned us for the rest of the winter. I am more comfortable with accumulating snow from mid November onward. Like I mentioned in my post this morning, the trends like the cold air reloading/staying and coastal systems showing up on the models is what I am looking at right now. Lets lay down a foundation first.

Are we moving more towards a Modoki or basin-wide El Nino? I have seen both mentioned as possibilities with more emphasis on Modoki.

I like the signs so far that the models are giving with the cold air reloading and having staying power instead of being progressive. Also the models showing coastal systems is another plus and I think this later fall and winter will be the return of the nor'easter.

Sandy is that you??

Had a low of 42 here this morning. Current temp 57

The normal high for October 20th (varies per exact location) is around 65 in the NYC metro, we could wind up being 20 degrees colder then that for highs.

Noon and the temp is only 51 here, very nice fall weather.

The fall foliage is really going to take off this week in the NYC metro. Unfortunately I am seeing more leaf drop then color change at the moment.

This was a great blog post by John @earthlight https://www.nymetroweather.com/2018/10/13/weekender-social-media-stormy-pattern-ahead/

Current temp is 47 here with light rain. Full on fall weather this morning.

Current temp down to 49 here.

Current temp 59/DP 40/RH 47% Looks like a chilly night ahead.