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About OleySnow

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    Oley, Pennsylvania

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  1. I was just thinking that earlier tonight when the wacky NAM came out (they should really stick a fork in that model). GFS is consistent though.
  2. See if guidance comes around to the idea of cyclogenesis forming along the front. That’ll increase rates a bit and maybe give someone a small jackpot. How much vertical ascent can we get outta’ this baby? We’ll see soon enough.
  3. 2-4 is a reasonable call at this time. You get the snowfall overnight. Temps can drop nicely and they will have to since the day prior will be on the mild side.
  4. These types of anafrontal systems normally are 2-4, 3-6, 4-8 in storms. I’ll take it.
  5. http://www.weatheranswer.com/public/NORLUN2.pdf Some light reading to do.
  6. Gotta’ like the look of this right now. Omega block pounds the West first with -NAO regime and then we transition to +PNA regime with -EPO. According to Archambault, it’s all about regime changes. Certainly gives us a good chance imo.
  7. Amen! I learn so much from this community. Really great minds and personalities here! Thank you so much!
  8. Yea, I'm out here in Boyertown, Pa. Saw some flakes earlier, but mostly virga now. Closer to the coast looks like the best shot.
  9. From Judah Cohen and his blog today: This is looking to me like we are transitioning from a reflective PV disruption in early November to potentially an absorptive PV disruption in late November. The biggest immediate impact on Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperatures would be a shift of cold temperatures from North America to Eurasia. The positive WAFz leading up to an absorptive PV disruption can last up to six weeks. So potentially we are at the beginning of a multi week period of overall mild temperatures in eastern North America. Like many on here, he seems to think that there will be a stretch of mild weather in the eastern U.S. during December.
  10. Thanks for the update! My son goes to college at Clarkson University. I forecasted 8-12 in for him. Hope he sends some pics!
  11. That’s funny. I just shared Isotherm’s outlook on WE page. Same response. Reminds me of Dickens’ A Christmas Carol. Here’s the first line: “ Marley was as dead as a door nail.” Silence of the Lambs!
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