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OleySnow

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About OleySnow

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    Oley, Pennsylvania

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  1. Last year Winter storm Grayson took this path.
  2. Let’s allocate that trough over the eastern U.S. come mid to late January into February = “saturated yard”
  3. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Seems like he was a little busy late last night. Good stuff! It’s really complicated though, but great to learn!
  4. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Yep, first thing I noticed with the Euro. You want to squash that SE ridge? Bring that -NAO westward more like the Euro is doing. We’ll see.
  5. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    That’s a lot of beer! He needs to have a clear mind for short range forecasting and nowcasting.
  6. https://simonleewx.com/2018/12/27/not-all-ssws-were-created-equal/amp/?__twitter_impression=true Just read this from Simon Lee. It gives some insight about dSSW’s and nSSW’s. Hope this helps a little. So much uncertainty. You have to observe it like a hawk.
  7. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    With soil moisture content being so high ( the weekend storm adding to that extraordinary number), this wave you are depicting has a good chance of producing ( even if it is only a light event). It has a triggering mechanism in the saturated soil. Just my 2 cents there. Plus, Christmas snow would be nice!
  8. From Dr. Amy Butler: All GEFS members now committing to a reversal of 60N 10mb winds #SSW between Dec 25-30 which is somewhat astonishing for a 9-14 day forecast. However not all other models on board yet so still reason to be cautious.
  9. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    12z ukmet has a similar notion. It would be crazy weather- light snow event one day to a 100-110kt jet screaming thunderstorms the next!
  10. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    For those in the Carolinas, here’s the latest from Brad Panovich. Pretty good met down there. Could be historic for those folks. https://www.facebook.com/wxbradCLT/videos/535861983555070/ Here’s the latest from Brad Panovich about this storm.
  11. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Brad Panovich is the main met down there in Charlotte. He’s pretty good and stays on top of things with lots of analysis and information. He offers varying perspectives and possibilities. During recent severe weather events down there (hurricane threats mostly), I have told my brother to follow him.
  12. OleySnow

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Just asked my brother if he was following it. He had no clue. He lives in Charlotte.
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