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About Hailstorm

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    Brooklyn, New York

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  1. Hello Jet. Nice to see your first post! Don't fret - I have a hunch that this "blob" will expand in areal coverage on future runs - other models have already and will continue to adjust for the effects of the ULL.
  2. Wow, AccuWeather gives the middle finger to basically all of the NYC metro area with their current forecast. What are they smoking? To make matters worse, many commuters returning from Thanksgiving could be unprepared for this onslaught if the Euro / EPS ends up verifying.
  3. They still are only predicting 1-3" for NYC in their 10-day outlook.
  4. How was the 12z EPS? Unchanged? Can someone please post it? Thanks.
  5. True fact: To protest against this winter, I have yet to break out my gloves, hats or scarves to wear them until we get a 1" or greater snowstorm. On the subway last week, people were looking at me like I was an alien since I was only wearing a jacket & sunglasses during the "arctic outbreak."
  6. Any updates on the 0z Euro anyone? Just would like to hear about the 500 mb setup for the 28th and beyond. Would be appreciated.
  7. Nice post. If I remember correctly, didn't the January 2018 storm that clobbered NYC / New England with 12"+ & fierce winds have this same feature of poleward heights? I think that storm had a south-to-north component to it.
  8. With all due respect, can you please further elaborate on this? I don't think I've seen any respected met declare such a statement this on this forum.
  9. That's just bad luck I guess. But personally, all I am asking for right now is a two-week prolonged period of sub-freezing days in which we would get a 3-6" storm once a week to build up a snowpack. Then, during week 3, we can get a larger storm (10-15"); and for week 4, another 4-8" would help to refresh / maintain it while we get another arctic blast. That's it. Then from Week 5 on, it can torch all it wants to.
  10. If NYC touches 0 tonight, I will consider that a win and it will compensate a bit for the miserable December and January we've had so far. What does the latest HRRR show for temps?
  11. Yeah. But the surprising thing that of that winter was there there was almost no -NAO or SSW help. Not sure what the MJO background state was though. It was funny to watch that -EPO on the models stay put for weeks on end when almost everyone on the "other forum" was expecting it to break down sooner or later.
  12. Agreed, but I even would take 2013-2014, even though that winter was so infamous for its cutter parade in January / December. Despite that, we still were able to have solid snow retention / snow pack for 30-40 consecutive days while having two MECS in mid-teen temps. What was so ironic was that during the November before that winter even started, most of the best forecasters on this board were calling for a lousy winter.
  13. What do you think happens after 2/4? Do we revert back to a zonal flow as the 12z GEFS are suggesting? It's at odds with the Euro weeklies which are very favorable throughout February / early March. I always appreciate your input.
  14. Looks like the debbie downers from that "other forum" have invaded the Long-Range thread in the past 30 minutes.
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