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trainman584

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About trainman584

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  • Birthday May 3

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    Mantua, New Jersey

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  1. I've been reading a few LR forecasters believe the strat will take more hits as we near closer to end of Feb into March, which would help disruptions. Here is to hoping for some help in any regards. We haven't hit an inch yet here in Philly
  2. My apologies, I've hidden my recent posting. I get ahead of myself sometimes!
  3. 1940-41 is another great example. 3 inches through end of February for Pholadelphia until two coastals dropped 23 inches within an 8 day period. It happens more over than not. The 20s also featured several winters like such as well.
  4. Any of the pros know if there are articles or research regarding low solar "lag time" to PV disruption? A few have discussed the idea it takes to to see effects, if any at all, through a certain period of time.
  5. Dismal and depressing, a shame most of our January's never transpire to an appropriate pattern, such an optimal time! I must say though, in my met studies, I've seen several bleak winter seasons in the record books, only to spark opportunity out of nowhere. (That was the case in several winters throughout the 20s and early 50s). There was a nor'easter that dropped 7 inches of snow in PHL in a very mild and wet pattern in March of 52. Interesting enough, following a similar pattern temperature-wise to our current December. Many are yearning for exponential amounts of cold and snow, but I think like a few, we should temper those expectations. My concern is now, does February give us opportunity? I'm not looking for a foot of snow, I know my locale and SNJ doesn't deliver that too often. With no SSW to "potentially" help us out, there are no other factors currently doing the same that would otherwise "do the trick." I'm sticking around to see what happens, as the winters from the 1910s prove late-season can blow it out of the park after a very uncooperative meteorological winter season. I hope you all are enjoying yourselves during the holidays and had a fantastic Christmas!
  6. I concur. Don is a great addition to this site. As a student who focuses on historical weather records and current stats, he is a wonderful asset to me and all others here.
  7. There was the December 8-10th storm in the south, and then the one slider that effected areas slightly further north and Mid-Atlantic, January 12-13th.
  8. Thank you for giving some insight here, helps us student mets understand the planetary-to-synoptic connections. Highly coherent short read.
  9. Interesting to see their analog years. Half of those years had a colder end to December. The floating idea to a colder end to December this year may have some merit moving forward. 1983, 1962, and 2012 had large large cold outbreaks towards the end. The other years aren't bad either, with somewhat "mild" temps. I'll take my chances.
  10. I would prefer not to have a repeat of Christmas Eve temps from 2015. Maybe I can send Santa an early letter to let him know.
  11. I've kept tabs on Philadelphia's weather records and history since the start of my met studies as a freshman....there is no record going back to 1874 that has teens in mid-November. Late November and 20s, yes, but not to this scale. It would be unparalleled if this came to attainment. There has only been once instance of single-digits and that was the last day of the month in 1875!
  12. Thank you for posting this. I've heard TNH thrown around by pro mets, but never knew what it signified. At least now I know what attributed to the 70 degree weekend in mid January of 1995.
  13. It is refreshing to see the pros discuss the post-Nino winter phenomena. Philadelphia's weather records represent these ideas well, along with what Anthony M wrote in his tweet. 59-60, 66-67, 78-79, 92-93 all come to mind. Now, for a dichotomy, 89-90, 2001-2002, 2012-2013 (what "could" have been, minus 01-02 for the Mid Atlantic). This will be my first full-winter as a met student on this forum, and am looking forward to all of your analysis and input. Very exciting to see others point out my intensive thoughts over these two years of looking over NWS records from the past 60 years.
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