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zepfloyd

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About zepfloyd

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  • Birthday February 20

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    Montgomery County, PA

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  1. Indeed a number of records have fallen in France today already.
  2. Funny what happens over the span of a month/several weeks. I remember in May when folks were suggesting maybe there's no real summer coming. Ha.
  3. According to NOAA "The retiring version of the model will no longer be used in operations but will continue to run in parallel through September 2019 to provide model users with data access and additional time to compare performance." Yeah, that almost sounds like a hedge... would not get your hopes up https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-upgrades-us-global-weather-forecast-model?
  4. FV3 should be banned from even being posted outside of Banter at this point.
  5. Did much better than expected here in the PHL metro, breaking 80 degrees today. Didn't expect that.
  6. To 1. - I don't believe any changes that NCEP has made to FV3 to address the documented issues have been pushed to public acceptance testing as of yet. The work is underway though and various members of the working group have noted publicly clear progress is being made. In the meantime TT, WB, WM etc that are providing FV3 are still running the same ol flawed release point from a few months ago, so to us nothing has changed - yet. I'd argue it would basically be better if they just pulled it for now.
  7. But there's snow on the Rocky Mountains and sea ice in Canada! /s Sounds like each of the last few weeks around a Tuesday ironically enough.... still seems unlikely.
  8. Huh? It is real... https://www.mlive.com/expo/life-and-culture/g66l-2019/03/0fcc2e84077663/gorgeous-ice-shards-are-piling-up-along-lake-michigan.html
  9. Day 8 theatrics in an active intraseasonal pattern in a very marginal temp environment? What could possibly go wrong?
  10. That only works so many times. The pattern really isn't all that favorable. No help from tropical forcing, Very positive AO and NAO with a wide open Atlantic.... you're basically getting a nice PNA spike for a few days which gives you a few cooler days, but in late March that's only going to get you so far. If one is thinking there's something beyond the 23rd outside of northern New England at this point, that's based on wishcasting only. Unless you think supposed frozen lakes and Rocky Mountain snow mean it will snow on the east coast till June for some bizarre reason
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