Thundersnow3765

Not when our cold source is torched. The antecedent airmass is downright awful

post

Ok then

Wow GFS is an awesome storm inland though

Worse than 12z, don't look lol

Even a flake would be surprising in my area, I rarely if ever see decent snow if solid cold isn't present beforehand. Good luck for those up north!

Yeah south of NYC isn't looking so good

Nice trend

GEFS mean for same time stamp

GEFS member 1 saves winter

GEFS is going in the right direction at 500 (3 run trend)

That's because the low stacks too late and the pass is too far north for areas north of NYC. The low doesn't intensify significantly until the vorts are near alignment. I posted the 500, 700, and 850 low tracks below. The lows stack just south of LI this run, but last run they stacked over southern New England. We need about 80 miles more south of all the lows for this forum to be extremely happy, but even just 10 or 20 would have noticeable improvements. 500 700 850

GFS is actually 1 more big tick away from destroying everyone. We need another big move of the primary south like this run (and to hope this run wasn't a blip)

Wow

Euro is an ice storm for PA