leo2000

This winter may mimic the 2015 winter that was very epic.

I see a Pacific interlude. Darn hopefully that storm on the 19th-20th of this month produces.

What begins after the 15th?.

That is a huge change on the EPS from earlier on. Where it was trying to push a trough in Western Canada and trying to lift it up to Alaska.

Paul Roundy has a good response to the 11-15 EPS

Usually these Major SSW's impacts on the atmosphere lasts a very long time weeks on end. That is why I find it hard to believe in the Euro Weeklies wanting to bring in a La Nina pattern by the 5th of February onward.

So were feeling the effects of the SSW now?. Cool just like I thought, those weeklies don't make any sense come February. Because Major SSW events last a long time in the lower atmosphere.

I got week 3

Yeah that La Nina hope it fades away. It's actually the GFS op models that are not so good.

But you were the one who were pointing to the GEFS Ensembles first for the pattern change. I am cautious here never try to hype stuff up.

Apparently the weeklies look very very good too!

Looks like my area might get slammed on January 2nd. Definitely getting some consensus here.

I just hope now we don't get a perfect Pacific if we are to get a very powerful -NAO west based block. Because if so it maybe too good of a good thing causing suppression of storms.

The GEPS Ensembles looking really nice too

If you happen to have a twitch account Met Michael Ventrice is talking about the Major SSW that is coming. Yes things are really starting to look a lot better in the Pacific as well now.