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184 ExcellentAbout leo2000
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Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
The 18 GFS OP is showing you get it done. A nice snowy pattern there. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Seeing signs of that already of the negatives moving out of Alaska. Courtney of the 12Z GEFS -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Hmmm, from Anthony Masiello on Twitter. lol... 12:28 PM · Jan 16, 2021·Twitter Web App -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Mondays long range pattern analysis & the WHY behind the multiple failed attempts to get cold. -EPO issues tied to MJO. -Much warmer trends. -7th warmest DEC/JAN since 1953 -Possible 8th warmest DJF since 1953 -February thoughts. #natgas #AGwx http://youtu.be/B14w9k5qh1M?hd=1 -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
This winter may mimic the 2015 winter that was very epic. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
I see a Pacific interlude. Darn hopefully that storm on the 19th-20th of this month produces. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
What begins after the 15th?. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
That is a huge change on the EPS from earlier on. Where it was trying to push a trough in Western Canada and trying to lift it up to Alaska. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Paul Roundy has a good response to the 11-15 EPS -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Usually these Major SSW's impacts on the atmosphere lasts a very long time weeks on end. That is why I find it hard to believe in the Euro Weeklies wanting to bring in a La Nina pattern by the 5th of February onward. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
So were feeling the effects of the SSW now?. Cool just like I thought, those weeklies don't make any sense come February. Because Major SSW events last a long time in the lower atmosphere. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
I got week 3 -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Yeah that La Nina hope it fades away. It's actually the GFS op models that are not so good. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
But you were the one who were pointing to the GEFS Ensembles first for the pattern change. I am cautious here never try to hype stuff up. -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
leo2000 replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Apparently the weeklies look very very good too!