leo2000

The latest MJO

Yes a epic winter pattern setting up. This is the first time in a long while I have been this excited. A -EPO, +PNA, -AO, and a big -NAO. You couldn't ask for a better winter pattern.

The 18 GFS OP is showing you get it done. A nice snowy pattern there.

Seeing signs of that already of the negatives moving out of Alaska. Courtney of the 12Z GEFS

Hmmm, from Anthony Masiello on Twitter. lol... 12:28 PM · Jan 16, 2021·Twitter Web App

Mondays long range pattern analysis & the WHY behind the multiple failed attempts to get cold. -EPO issues tied to MJO. -Much warmer trends. -7th warmest DEC/JAN since 1953 -Possible 8th warmest DJF since 1953 -February thoughts. #natgas #AGwx http://youtu.be/B14w9k5qh1M?hd=1

This winter may mimic the 2015 winter that was very epic.

I see a Pacific interlude. Darn hopefully that storm on the 19th-20th of this month produces.

What begins after the 15th?.

That is a huge change on the EPS from earlier on. Where it was trying to push a trough in Western Canada and trying to lift it up to Alaska.

Paul Roundy has a good response to the 11-15 EPS

Usually these Major SSW's impacts on the atmosphere lasts a very long time weeks on end. That is why I find it hard to believe in the Euro Weeklies wanting to bring in a La Nina pattern by the 5th of February onward.

So were feeling the effects of the SSW now?. Cool just like I thought, those weeklies don't make any sense come February. Because Major SSW events last a long time in the lower atmosphere.

I got week 3

Yeah that La Nina hope it fades away. It's actually the GFS op models that are not so good.