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Raysoto19

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About Raysoto19

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    Willingboro, NJ

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  1. Make it rain to canada. Misery loves company and this was our biggest chance to score big. Congrats to anyone with a good thumping of snow in the northeast.
  2. Good point. Harder to overcome that 850 as you head south. Undermodeling helps in the north MA and hurt is the south MA this go around. Where are you at? Obs?
  3. When the low redevelops i would expect this to go back to snow if it does change
  4. Raysoto19

    Rant N' Rave (Banter) Thread

    They had their eye on it until festivus then jumped shipped. They were model hugging pretty bad.
  5. Raysoto19

    Rant N' Rave (Banter) Thread

    I remember going on the computer after mass and seeing everyone go nuts on the model swing. Before NWS alluded to the change.
  6. Raysoto19

    Rant N' Rave (Banter) Thread

    TBT to a great few days AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1048 AM EST FRI DEC 24 2010 IT WOULD APPEAR AS THOUGH THE THREAT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY CONTINUES TO DWINDLE...AS THE LAST HOLDOUT FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM HAS JOINED THE MODEL CONSENSUS THIS AFTERNOON. THE 1200 UTC ECMWF RUN HAS JOINED THE MODEL CONSENSUS THIS AFTERNOON IN ALLOWING THE MID LEVEL PHASING TO OCCUR TOO LATE FOR MUCH OF AN IMPACT WITH REGARD TO SNOW FOR THE FORECAST AREA. AT THIS POINT...A CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE RETAINED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FOR AT LEAST A PART OF THE AREA. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 340 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 EARLIER IN THE WEEK, SEVERAL MDLS SHOWED A BIG EVENT, WHILE OTHERS HAD A NON-EVENT. THEN, THEY ALL SHOWED A MORE EWD TRACK AND A NEAR MISS OR NON-EVENT. THEN, JUST IN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS, THEY HAVE GONE BACK TO A MORE WWD TRACK AND A SIGNIFICANT EVENT.
  7. 44 with scattered showers like a beautiful spring morning. Even the birds sound confused.
  8. Raysoto19

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Any analogs for this possibly sneaky sunday-monday event?
  9. Raysoto19

    Rant N' Rave (Banter) Thread

    Always a struggle but it is early. The higher elevation folks would love to see you in the battle zone because it means they're getting it good. Storms like xmas 2002 are a great example of that struggle.
  10. Raysoto19

    Rant N' Rave (Banter) Thread

    Phrases that need to be banned: " delayed not denied"
  11. Raysoto19

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Painful cutoff for some
  12. Raysoto19

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Same. Coming down nicely there and I saw a plow truck so they do exist, at least in Boone.
  13. Raysoto19

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Its their boxing day. Christmas eve 18z (36 hrs before) the trend dramatically commenced here. I recall coming home from dinner that night to a Christmas miracle in South Jersey
  14. Raysoto19

    [Eastern US] Dec. 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Painful cutoff for some with the warnings but I think these will come north a bit.
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