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The Weatherhog

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About The Weatherhog

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    Exton, Pa

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  1. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Hit or miss. They did well last month when the gefs and eps kept wanting to build a ridge in the east. The geps kept insisting that the ridging would be farther west in North America and thus more troughing in the east. It may have been a result of its better handling of the goa low. Something to keep an eye on going forward.
  2. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Yea It wasn’t a good sign up north when the Ukmet and Euro locked in on a southern track.
  3. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    12z gefs keeps hope alive for accumulating snow into DC area.
  4. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Ukmet has measurable snow close to Fredericksburg. If we are wondering how far north accumulating snow could still come, DC is probably the reasonable extent of that.
  5. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Not sure if this was posted earlier but certainly doesn’t look like the ggem backed down at 18z.
  6. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Comparing Ukmet to FV3...Better ridging out west on the Ukie. Also looks like slightly less confluence and slightly higher heights ahead of our storm on the Ukie.
  7. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    DGEX would have been fun to look at.
  8. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    18z handles this piece of energy quite differently. Looks more consolidated, heights build quicker out ahead and helps with the confluence.
  9. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Strengthens it quite a bit from 114-132. Promising for a bit there.
  10. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Northern stream energy that crushes our storm to the south on the 6z seems much weaker through 102. The s/w before it seems a bit slower.
  11. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Pointing out a positive. The slowed timing has resulted in our storm running into a stale airmass on the models. This run has slowed the retreat of the cold. That could prove significant if we don’t get this storm to speed up.
  12. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Better positioned high pressure here on the 18z .
  13. The Weatherhog

    [Eastern US] December 2018: Consolidated Discussion / Obs

    Lots of members northwest of the mean on the gefs.
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