
Nickisweather
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26 ExcellentAbout Nickisweather
- Currently Viewing Topic: Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
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Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
What would you want do see different, so we know what to look out for or for future reference -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
It doesn’t matter if it’s a blizzard or not this far out, we’re taking a look at the synoptic pattern overall, whether a specific region meets blizzard criteria is inconsequential more than 2 days out(the nws got rid of blizzard watches for a reason) -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
I think this goes to the point that @brooklynwx99 made, the northern end shifted south but the southern edge did not so does not mean the slp shifted south. -
speed: This is the warmest 850 frame, not horrible
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Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
locked and loaded -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
This could be a positive side effect of the less negative epo, although there’s less cold, there’s less amplification that could cause our pv to eject sounthwatd and interact -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
If only the transfer happened 6 hours earlier -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Then the coastal transfer is too far west but with a correction southeast with the primary we’d be in business -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Great strong storm signal though thermals will be a problem verbatim with that h5 look -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
That’s my point, and I think it stands regardless of my math being off by a day. We just can’t get invested in op runs outside of 5 days -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
Lol the GFS is great model 8 days out -
Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition Part II
Nickisweather replied to brooklynwx99's topic in Weather Discussion
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Weather Threats: Winter 2020-21 Edition
Nickisweather replied to NJwxguy78's topic in Weather Discussion
It’s gonna be sloppy -
Met Winter 20-21: Pattern Drivers & Evolution
Nickisweather replied to griteater's topic in Weather Discussion
Is there any worry that the lowest heights (<520 dm) appear to be in Siberia and not say around or south of the Hudson Bay? Seems like the lower heights are needed to get more intense storms.