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uncle w

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uncle w last won the day on September 17 2019

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About uncle w

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    Statistics Sage
  • Birthday 03/28/1949

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    staten Island

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  1. el nino took a hit last week...oni was down to +0.1 for the week...I thought a strengthening el nino this time of year would help matters...1992-93 comes to mind...now that possibility is off the table...what else can go wrong...
  2. met winters suk...we need Yankee winters...
  3. NYC east coast... you can get daily ao/nao/pna here... ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/
  4. winters lowest ao number and the sensible weather around the ao low date... season.......ao min.....date..... 1949-50......-2.854.....3/15/50......1.4" 3/14...record cold the beginning of the month... 1950-51......-4.353.....12/27/50....3" snow 12/27 and 9 degrees...the biggest snow and coldest temperature of the winter... 1951-52......-3.805.....3/4/1952....4" snow 3/2... 1952-53......-3.766.....12/27/52....12 degrees is the coldest temp. of the season...4" snow 12/31... 1953-54......-3.495.....1/30/54......cold continues...Cold snowy January... 1954-55......-3.064.....1/4/55........cold continues... 1955-56......-4.564.....2/15/56......1.4" 2/17 and 2/22...Big March snows..... 1956-57......-4.473.....2/21/57......2.6" snow 3/1... 1957-58......-4.030.....3/11/58......snow storms 3/14 and 3/21... 1958-59......-4.026.....1/7/59........cold continues... 1959-60......-4.108.....1/28/60......18 degrees 2/3 is the coldest temp for Feb...Big March cold and snow... 1960-61......-2.719.....1/10/61......greatest snowy and cold period followed 1/15-2/12... 1961-62......-4.417.....3/4/62........record cold 3/2 and the Ash Wednesday storm 3/6... 1962-63......-5.010.....1/21/63......Near record cold 1/23 and 4" snow 1/26...Biggest snow of the season... 1963-64......-4.470.....12/20/63....1.4" 12/18...6.6" 12/23-24...11 degrees 12/20 coldest for that month...January Blizzard... 1964-65......-3.973.....1/26/65......ice storm 1/24 and continued cold... 1965-66......-5.130.....1/28/66......8 degrees is the coldest temp. of the season 1/28...storm 7" on 1/30... 1966-67......-4.147.....12/13/66....wet snow and rain 12/13-14 is the start of two weeks of snow and cold...7" snow 12/24-25... 1967-68......-3.490.....2/7/68........8 degrees 2/11...Cold and dry continues... 1968-69......-5.282.....2/13/69......17 degrees 2/17 is the coldest temp for the month...15" of snow 2/9-10.... 1969-70......-6.365.....3/5/70........20 degrees 3/10 coldest temp for the month...4" of snow 3/29... 1970-71......-2.821.....2/6/71........12 degrees max 2/2... 1972-73......-2.044.....12/17/72...24 degrees max 12/17... 1973-74......-2.792.....12/19/73...big ice storm 12/16-17...17 degrees 12/19 is the coldest temp of the month... 1974-75......-1.695.....12/18/74...some minor cold in a mild month...one of the few times the weather was benign at the ao minimum... 1975-76......-3.262.....1/24/76......-1 degrees 1/23 is the coldest temp of the winter...1" of snow 1/23... 1976-77......-7.433.....1/15/77......-2 degrees on the 17th is the coldest temp of the winter...5" snow 1/14-15... 1977-78......-5.291.....2/5/78........10 degrees 2/5 is the coldest temperature of the season...18" snow 2/6-7... 1978-79......-4.387.....1/25/79......Very cold and snowy February.... 1979-80......-3.705.....1/24/80......continued cold and dry...longest stretch of cold that winter... 1980-81......-4.318.....3/4/81........largest snowfall for the winter...8.6" 3/5... 1981-82......-3.804.....12/30/81...January 1982 was very cold and snowy... 1982-83......-3.410.....2/6/83........4" of snow 2/6 and 18" 2/11-12... 1983-84......-3.706.....3/13/84......record cold 3/10...7" snow 3/8-9... 1984-85......-6.226.....1/19/85.....-2 degrees 1/21 is the coldest temperature that winter... 1985-86......-3.894......2/6/86.......4.5" of snow 2/7 and 2/11...Snowiest period of the winter... 1986-87......-3.507.....3/9/87........2" snow 3/12...Near record cold 3/10... 1987-88......-2.314.....2/28/88......0.6" 2/27 is the last measurable snow...Thawing after... 1988-89......-0.318.....3/4/89........2.5" 3/6 and near record cold 3/7... 1989-90......-3.482.....12/10/89...One of the coldest Decembers on record... 1990-91......-3.381.....3/9/91.......24 degrees 3/12...benign after that... 1991-92......-2.597.....12/4/91.....0.7" 12/5...benign after that... 1992-93......-2.228.....3/2/93.......Super storm 3/13...Near record cold followed... 1993-94......-3.503.....2/24/94.....2.6" 2/23...12 degrees 2/27.... 1994-95......-3.116.....3/9/95.......20 degrees 3/10 is the coldest temp for the month.... 1995-96......-4.353.....12/19/95...8" of snow during a very cold period...January blizzard. 1996-97......-3.377.....12/30/96...11 degrees New Years Day.... 1997-98......-4.269.....1/10/98.....14 degrees New Years day...Coldest of the winter... 1998-99......-3.856.....3/10/99......5" snow 3/14-15...17 degrees 3/8 is the coldest temp for the month... 1999-00......-2.118.....2/18/00......3" snow and ice 2/22.. 2000-01......-4.854.....2/25/01......6" snow 2/22 and 17 degrees...coldest for the month... 2001-02......-3.293.....12/28/01...Coldest period of the winter followed but benign... 2002-03......-3.575.....1/22/03......7 degrees 1/24 is the coldest for the winter... 2003-04......-4.387.....1/17/04......1 degree 1/16 is the coldest temp of the season...6" of snow 1/15...Dec. 2004-05......-4.337.....2/26/05......6" of snow 2/25 and 8" 2/29... 2005-06......-3.569.....12/5/05......2" snow 12/4...1" 2/6 and 6" 12/9...14 degrees 12/14 is the coldest temp of the season... 2006-07......-2.184.....2/4/07........8 degrees 2/5 is the coldest for the winter... 2007-08......-2.468.....1/2/08........12 degrees 1/3 second coldest of the winter... 2008-09......-3.178.....2/3/09........4.3" 2/5 12 degrees... 2009-10......-5.821.....12/21/09...11" snow 12/19-20....16 degrees 12/18 is the coldest for the month... 2010-11......-5.172.....12/18/10...20" of snow 12/26-27...23 max on 12/14.. 2011-12......-3.451.....01/28/12...4.3" of snow 1/21...Biggest of the season... 2012-13......-5.688.....03/20/13...3.0" of snow 3/18 and continued cold... 2013-14......-2.605.....01/27/14...5 degrees 1/22...11" of snow 1/21...21 max 1/28... 2014-15......-1.462.....03/19/15...4.5" of snow March 20th... 2015-16......-4.898.....01/16/16...first measurable snow 1/16...27" of snow 1/23...biggest ever... 2016-17......-2.228.....02/14/17...9" of snow 2/9.....biggest storm of the season... 2017-18...…-4.426.....03/02/18...major storm 3/2 and more later...8" 3/22,,, 2018-19...…-3.315.....02/01/19...2 degrees 1/31/19... 2019-20.....-2.773.....12/26/19...still mild...one of the few times the winter low ao did not produce...hopefully March sees a lower ao with snow this time...
  5. I posted about the very neg ao in January 2016 and suggested a possible ku event...one of my better observations...when the ao gets close to -5sd its either a arctic outbreak or snowstorm or both with few exceptions...
  6. Feb 2006 came off an extended period of neg ao and nao...It also had a positive pna at the time...
  7. it took advantage of one of the strongest blocks ever seen during the winter months...the March 1-2, 2009 storm had a plus ao and nao with a neg pna... some March snowfalls with a ao +3sd or higher...3/1/2015...3/5/15...3/6/1990...the March 2015 storms during the first week all had a very positive ao...nao...a very neg pna...
  8. the bad winters are getting worse and the good winters better over the last 30 years...
  9. don't give up on March...winter will say hello when its time to say goodbye...
  10. there might be a dim light at the end of the month...a more favorable ao/nao to start March...nothing like 2018 but maybe enough for a snowstorm...1990 had a very positive ao the beginning of March and NYC got 3" of snow on the 6th...1989 had a very positive ao going into March but for one day just slightly neg...NYC got 3-5" of snow on the 6th...so it is still possible to get the biggest snowfall of the season in March...
  11. its in the designing stage...basically a three track oval with one track at street level and one below ...its light rail and freight in a city...to bad they don't sell a n gauge subway train like what you can get in HO gauge...one train can run through all three tracks with out switching but I'll have one that will keep the train below street level...I built an HO set like that 30 years ago...with no room to work with it has to be n gauge now...
  12. that hobby ended for me when the Mick retired...I'm building a N gauge model train set and that takes up a lot of my time now...if I live long enough I'll complete it...
  13. thank god I have other hobbies...NYC has 37 days with a minimum 32 or lower so far this winter...37 is the record set in the 2011-12 fiasco...
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