Jump to content

uncle w

Master Wx Expert
  • Content Count

    1,893
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

uncle w last won the day on September 20 2020

uncle w had the most liked content!

Community Reputation

3,842 Excellent

About uncle w

  • Rank
    Statistics Sage
  • Birthday 03/28/1949

Personal Information

  • Location
    staten Island

Recent Profile Visitors

1,076 profile views
  1. Newark, JFK and LGA reported mwasurable snow 0.2" to 0.3"...as usual Central Park reports a trace with the same le...
  2. I'm not sure but did January 2017 have two days in a row with snow? From Jan 88 to March 92 NYC did not get snow on snow...
  3. snowstorms with single digit temperatures just before the storm and some after a storm... 2/15-16, 1958...after.. 12/11-12/1960...after... 1/19-20/1961...after... 1/12-13/1964...after... 2/7/1967...after... 2/6/1978...before 2/19/1979...before... 2/11/1994...before... 1/7/1996...before... 2/16-17/2003...before... 1/2004...before... 1/23/2005...before and after... 1/2014...after... 1/2018...after...
  4. If we get a break in February it's a break from what?...
  5. I wouldn't use analogs from 100 years ago...1928 was a neutral year...1929 was an el nino year...no enso match for that analog...
  6. NYC got a 9" snowfall in Feb. 1929 a week after the St. Valintine massacre...
  7. all the ten inch January snowfalls did have a pos pna but Dec 2010 did not...Feb 1969 did not either...and there's always a first time for everything...
  8. cold and dry in todays world is hard to sustain...sometimes a storm will come on the tail end of a pattern like that...I see many la nina years similar to this one...the blocking is good but not great...good blocking is good enough when it gets help from other indices..
  9. ten days away...20"... eight days away...10"... five days away...5"... three days away...1"... day of event...P'Cldy...
  10. as long as the arctic oscillation stays negative we have a chance in the long run...todays ao forecast has all members staying negative throughout the forecast period...two members get as low as -5sd and one of them drops off the chart...that's probably not happening because the actuals are running towards the highest members in the long run...the nao has a few members a little positive in the long run...most are negative...something will pop if it keeps up...when I was young I dreaded hearing its Pacific Maritime air...we have gotten more than our share of that this year so far...
  11. the ao/nao forecast looks good except for one or two members going against the grain...most members are staying negative to very negative...
  12. most la nina's weaken as the winter gets older...
  13. 1973-74 is the strongest year... Year DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND
  14. plenty of la nina winters had the snowiest and coldest part in February...more had a cold January mild February combo...if January gets very cold the last half then February could turn milder later in the month... 1971-72...Feb was the coldest snowiest month... 1973-74...Feb was the coldest snowiest month... 1974-75...Feb was the coldest snowiest month... 1975-76...cold Jan mild second half of Feb...March snowfall... 1983-84...cold Jan milf Feb...March comeback... 1984-85...cold Jan mild second half of Feb... 1985-86...Feb was the coldest snowiest month...
×
×
  • Create New...