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showmethesnow

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showmethesnow last won the day on February 26

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About showmethesnow

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. Mentioned Tuesday in the pattern and drivers thread that I felt, what would now be day 5 and day 8 respectively, had potential. Day 5 for the interior towards the Lakes and those that enjoyed some decent latitude, but not so much for the 95 crew. Still feel that way and the models have picked up on that theme the last few days. Day 8 (maybe closer to day 7) is another story though. Models really are for the most part dismissive of this period of time. But I am far from ready to dismiss it as of yet and still believe there is much better potential, even for the 95 corridor, then what is being p
  2. Not that it is a done deal, but the EPS has been pretty much leading the way with sniffing out a week+ ago our potential upcoming episode of blocking. The CMC and the GFS (and ensembles) were anything but enthusiastic about this initially. 4 days ago I threw up the 7 day mean from the EPS that represented the time period of the initial build and then eventual break down of this blocking (below). As the time neared on the models I favored seeing the ridging/higher heights extending father poleward (the blocking), a distinct 50/50 popping out at us and ridging developing in the NS in the norther
  3. Thanks! Always nice to hear. Just bought a house about an half hour NE of Canaan Valley. Looking forward to not having to scrounge for every inch of snow it seems like we have to do each winter here in the east. We actually settled on the house in a Realtor's office in Canaan, which was the first time I had ever been there. The whole area is breath taking up through there. Once you jump the ridge just to the west of Keyser WV onto the mountain plateau it is like a whole different world. Was up last week and on the east side of that ridge they maybe had 4-5 inches of snow. But once
  4. Speak of the devil. Not that it means much but I just looked at the GFSv16 after making my post and this is what popped up. Day 8 threat Day 11 threat
  5. Though the EPS is still washing out the high latitude blocking at the end of the extended it continues to improve on strength, poleward extension and holding it in longer run over run. It is starting to get the feel that the EPS is trying to clue us in that we will see another go round of strong, sustained blocking. On the other hand the GEFS and the GEPS continue to be luke warm to the idea of the sustainability of this blocking but even they have seen improvements in that regards. Below we have the overnight EPS day 7-14 of which we can compare to yesterday's 00Z run through the
  6. All the tracking I have done this winter on some of the big storms and this is the system that wins the prize on excitement. A system I might add, that I have been for the most part dismissive of. Currently have quarter+ size flakes just pouring out of the sky and are now sitting at 3 1/2" OTG. 3 1/2" that we have received within 2 hours. And looking at radar we have at least another hour of such rates if not longer.
  7. Can't complain about the rates here in Hanover, PA. In roughly an hour and a half we now have over 2" of snow OTG. Most of which have fallen within a little over an hour period of time.
  8. Currently am probably seeing the heaviest snow I have had this winter here in Hanover PA. Already have over an inch on the ground (less then an hour) and the roads caved instantly. Looking at radar it looks as if I have even heavier returns heading my way as well.
  9. Started snowing a half hour ago here in Hanover, PA (central PA on the MD line). Bordering between moderate to heavy and we saw a 2 degree drop to where we now sit at 27.5 degrees. Have picked up an half inch at this time. Have occasional bursts of wind accompanied by heavier snowfall indicative of the convective nature of the snowfall.
  10. Thought I would follow up on my post from a couple of days ago. Where I thought there was a good chance we would see strong sustained blocking in the NAO region then what was being projected in the extended and the implications it may have within the pattern. This was the look that the EPS was throwing at us a couple of days ago in the N Atlantic for the 10-15 day period. What we are seeing is mediocre eastern based blocking with higher heights through the 50/50 region. Below is the current look on the EPS. We are now seeing much stronger blocking/ridging showing
  11. I have always liked the term regurgitate. Would that be an acceptable term? Down in our area this blocking has not really gotten it done for us this year. Seems as if every system has been tainted and underperformed in the snow department. I really can't complain after last year's 12", but the 24" I have this year (seasonal avg is 36") leaves a little bit of a bitter taste in my mouth because with a little luck we could have easily had doubled that. I am with you. I am looking forward to our move into our new house this summer in the mountains of WV
  12. Not the biggest fan of what the models (GEFS, EPS, GEPS) have projected for the 5 to day 10 period. Except for some good timing with the NS or the 50/50 to suppress heights in the East they argue for any snows probably being confined to the deep interior and those that enjoy good latitude. The PV is too far west which is promoting troughing into the west which is in turn inducing ridging in the East. Though we do have a representation at 500s of a 50/50 it is probably too far east and shallow to benefit the coastal plain/95 corridor and the mid-Atlantic. In the PAC we see the ridging setting u
  13. ***Sorry, posted this in the wrong thread.*** Not the biggest fan of what the models (GEFS, EPS, GEPS) have projected for the 5 to day 10 period. Except for some good timing with the NS or the 50/50 to suppress heights in the East they argue for any snows probably being confined to the deep interior and those that enjoy good latitude. The PV is too far west which is promoting troughing into the west which is in turn inducing ridging in the East. Though we do have a representation at 500s of a 50/50 it is probably too far east and shallow to benefit the coastal plain/95 corridor and
  14. @Thundersnow3765 Thanks, looks as if I may have dodged a bullet just staying north of the sleet line. Good spot to be for maxing out snowfall. @Vitaliy Goldin Looking at the radar it looks as if you have flipped over to snow once again.
  15. Do you have an animation of this? Is it moving northward or west to east?
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