I read an article from accuweather (link below) regarding the potential for up to 5 cyclones to form in the Indian Ocean within the next couple days. Looking at latest run of the GFS model, it seems as though one cyclone is forecast to hit Somalia, while another, potentially much more potent one seems set to hit Madagascar. Apologies if it's a dumb question, but did the formations of these cyclones in any way change the MJO progression and/or contribute to the upcoming more favorable look to the Pacific? @Webberweather, I know your forecast for a mild December had a lot to do with the standing wave in the IO and the unfavorable forcing as a result. Curious to know your thoughts on this.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/tropics-heating-up-in-indian-ocean-as-4-potential-tropical-cyclones-may-form-this-week/638490