***Winter Countdown Thread 2018-2019*** - Page 59 - Weather Spotlight - 33andrain Jump to content
swamplover56

***Winter Countdown Thread 2018-2019***

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todays ao/nao forecast are for both to get very negative...some members have the nao diving to record low levels...just what we need to see a cold December if it holds..

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8 minutes ago, uncle w said:

todays ao/nao forecast are for both to get very negative...some members have the nao diving to record low levels...just what we need to see a cold December if it holds..

Perfect.

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5 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

Perfect.

meh the links did not take but I have not seen an nao forecast this good since March...

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4 minutes ago, uncle w said:

meh the links did not take but I have not seen an nao forecast this good since March...

 

gefs_ao_06.png

gefs_nao_06.png

eps_nao_00.png

eps_ao_00.png

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43 minutes ago, uncle w said:

todays ao/nao forecast are for both to get very negative...some members have the nao diving to record low levels...just what we need to see a cold December if it holds..

EPO looks to be negative

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So far i'm liking the teleconnections and the timing. Right towards the end of November, in time for sneaux season to begin.

 

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GOTTA LOVE THIS AT 500. 

 

 

 

DrzuMP7W4AA-O3n.jpg

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Dec. 1963 had 21 days with a neg AO...lowest number was -4.470 on 12/20...nao was neg 29 days with the lowest on 12/14 at -2.343...

Dec. 1968 had 18 days with a neg AO...lowest number was -4.547 on 12/27...nao was neg 30 days with the lowest on 12/06 at -1.697...

Dec. 1977 had 16 days with a neg AO...lowest number was -3.071 on 12/07...nao was neg 23 days with the lowest on 12/07 at -2.132

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Seems that the storm track has been quite active so far, noticed it's like there is a system that rolls through every few days. 

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Patterns like these produce December snows. 

 

 

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

 

 

gfs-ens_T2ma_namer_65.png

 

 

 

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I believe GEO liked the 27th - 28th ? 

 

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_59.png

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_55.png

 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_59.png

 

gem-ens_mslpa_us_61.png

 

 

 

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4 minutes ago, PB GFI said:

Patterns like these produce December snows. 

 

 

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

 

 

gfs-ens_T2ma_namer_65.png

 

 

 

Indeed and yes, 11/26-11/28, I have our next, and perhaps first, legit chance for appreciable coastal snow.

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19 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

End EPS

 

eps_z500a_nh_61-2.png

 

 

Check out the post in the Nov thread and why that will look better. 

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Please continue the Winter countdown discussion in the November thread. We will leave this up, but locked, for another few days, then archive. It's coming!

 

 

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