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dmillz25

October 2018 Discussion & Observations

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12 minutes ago, swamplover56 said:

Going to be a rough one at the giants game tonight

and the weather doesn't look like it will cooperate either!
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8 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

and the weather doesn't look like it will cooperate either!
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Ehhhh...as an Eagle fan myself I think they'll struggle a lot...good chance they lose.

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I actually think my area will miss nearly all the rain directly associated with Michael at this point. I never liked this threat.

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52 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

I actually think my area will miss nearly all the rain directly associated with Michael at this point. I never liked this threat.

There is going to be a screw zone for sure

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1 minute ago, Snowman11 said:

Hwrf is still showing lot of rain later for the NJ coast and NYC/ LI.

It's a tropical model. Wouldn't recommend using it at this point. Especially, with no support from any other global model.

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Euro today. Less than an inch total (including this morning) for most. I'm telling you...this largely whiffs right for most.

 

us_model-en-087-0_modez_2018101112_24_8113_220.png

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4 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

It's a tropical model. Wouldn't recommend using it at this point. Especially, with no support from any other global model.

Why not? Every model came more northwest.

We have been burned before throwing out the hurricane models.

We shall see but don't throw them out yet.

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2 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

Euro today. Less than an inch total (including this morning) for most. I'm telling you...this largely whiffs right for most.

 

us_model-en-087-0_modez_2018101112_24_8113_220.png

Hrrr also has heavy rain for the area. Should be interesting to see which models are right.

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3 minutes ago, Snowman11 said:

Hrrr also has heavy rain for the area. Should be interesting to see which models are right.

You can trust me. It will largely whiff, though you obviously will get more than other people. It pays to be in the most SE exposed spot of the NYC area...until it's PDIII and you're @33andrain while everybody else is making snow angels.

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7 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

Euro today. Less than an inch total (including this morning) for most. I'm telling you...this largely whiffs right for most.

Albeit a modest one, I'm enjoying the PRE all the same :) WV/PA/NY into NE taking the brunt of it as expected though.

 

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11 minutes ago, Snowman11 said:

Hrrr also has heavy rain for the area. Should be interesting to see which models are right.

Even if it trends a tick NW, NYC will still be right on the periphery. As of now I think it ends up a low-impact event for the majority of the area. SNJ is a different story.

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5 minutes ago, CCB! said:

Even if it trends a tick NW, NYC will still be right on the periphery. As of now I think it ends up a low-impact event for the majority of the area. SNJ is a different story.

I agree 

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We should see heavy rain around the area after 6pm. Depending how fast it moves east will determine how much we get. The jersey shore and Long Island will get over a inch 

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