[Eastern US] Jan. 2019 Pattern & Forecast Discussion - Page 161 - 33andrain Spotlight - 33andrain Jump to content
33andrain

[Eastern US] Jan. 2019 Pattern & Forecast Discussion

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, MesoBanding said:

Too many rainers with the western lows tanking the mean snowfall. 

I know mathematically how it’s that low, but what I’m saying is that it should also be reflective of the mean storm track, and it’s not even close lol a nearly BM ensemble mean low track (just inside) with not even five inches of snow in the climatologically coldest time of year? Sorry, that ain’t right lol

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Glad to be here.  Can’t give much weather input but I will be paying much attention. Thanks to all for the learning lessons!!! 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
43 minutes ago, Scottt said:

I did payroll for DSNY I got lots of ot during snow events

 

It’s been rough so far this season to get ot.  But hopefully we pick up the pace soon !! 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, rb924119 said:

I know mathematically how it’s that low, but what I’m saying is that it should also be reflective of the mean storm track, and it’s not even close lol a nearly BM ensemble mean low track (just inside) with not even five inches of snow in the climatologically coldest time of year? Sorry, that ain’t right lol

I honestly don’t know how that works. 

 

My simple math would be to add the 51 snow totals for NYC and divide by 51. 

 

If if it doesn’t work that way (and it’s more weighted in the mean SLP) that’d be a cool education point for at least me. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Allsnow said:

 

4C345761-D4D9-4168-B04E-39B371C10366.png

 

Here is the mean for your period , @33andrain posted the  individuals.  The 24th has the higher heights extending out of the W/A and some off the M/A but the 20 -21- 22- 23 and 25 are  what you see in the mean. 

 

 

eps_z500a_5d_noram_55  JAN 11 5 DAY MEAN 20 - 25.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, wxmd529 said:

@Allsnow not a se-ridge brother

Thanks guys....

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, earthlight said:

Get a grip people . This is the best map we’ve seen on the EPS ALL WINTER LONG

 

 

69B97F24-8084-4899-B999-30C2FB184EBD.jpeg

C0586936-18FE-41EB-9CFD-695B696EC4A1.jpeg

not enough blues on that map

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

PAC/Beaufort Sea/NAO blocking continues to correct when moving up in time. As a result, the TPV's location continues to correct south as well on the 12z EPS.

index.gif

index.gif

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

While everyone’s focused on the LR (and rightfully so) it looks like this weekends event may not be DOA for the NYC area. Even if it’s just a coating (that’s what I would go with) it will be nice to break the streak of non accumulating snow. 

Just saw the other thread but it’s still relevant 

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, PB GFI said:

WOW 

eps_t850a_nh_61   JAN 11 DAY 15 OMG.png

Talk about a direct connection to the Pole. Cool map.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Honestly, pretty decent agreement coming together on the LR ensembles.

 

image.png

image.png

image.png

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

below zero if that map materialized...

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, CCB! said:

Honestly, pretty decent agreement coming together on the LR ensembles.

 

image.png

image.png

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

The follow up wave 

 

 

 2084993756_eps_mslpa_noram_59JAN1DAY14.png.7e9e5eb785c7aaaa39a2537064b7c445.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The temps on FV3-GFS long range are unreal. Single digits nearly down to gulf coast. -40s in Canada. Crazy cold blast coming later this month if that verifies.  

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×