January 2019 Forecast Discussion and Observations #2 - Page 64 - Archived Storm Threads - 33andrain Weather Discussion Community Jump to content
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January 2019 Forecast Discussion and Observations #2

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Just now, Snowman11 said:

 

6a004c19462f1c866be8de24c9e2a5c2.gif

 

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Nice hit of snow for people away from the coast 

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3 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said:

snowfall_total_accum_10to1_NECONUS_hr132.png

 

 

I changed the name of that map for us down here , True Horror.

 

Good for you guys up N. 

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2 minutes ago, Nchaboy said:

Nice hit of snow for people away from the coast 

 

Just now, PB GFI said:

 

 

I changed the name of that map for us down here , True Horror.

 

Good for you guys up N. 

Plenty of room for some favorable adjustments, getting there. As evidenced at the top of the page, with the TPV nosing its way south, even the ECMWF is having issues in the three day time frame resolving the intricacies of this pattern.

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Hmmm Euro a few inches possibly here and if it redevelops 100 miles south of there, MECS?

Of course it is the only model showing this, but I'd rather have the EURO as the only one showing it.

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10 minutes ago, PB GFI said:

 

 

I changed the name of that map for us down here , True Horror.

 

Good for you guys up N. 

 

I wouldn't say that at all.
EURO could be showing snow at 33-34 for all we know and throwing off the algorithm.

Even as is, I think that would be an advisory level event in NYC.

Plus I NEVER rule anything out that's within 100 miles on day 5.

That's why I hated being right on the borderline on the cold models for MLK day.

If I had 100 miles to work with, it could have been something much different.

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The Euro seems colder for sure for coastal areas. Not a bad look imo.

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 Is there still a signal for the 2/2-2/4 period?

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3 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

 

I wouldn't say that at all.
EURO could be showing snow at 33-34 for all we know and throwing off the algorithm.

Even as is, I think that would be an advisory level event in NYC.

Plus I NEVER rule anything out that's within 100 miles on day 5.

That's why I hated being right on the borderline on the cold models for MLK day.

If I had 100 miles to work with, it could have been something much different.

 

No at 114 , it`s 40 degrees in M/C.  We dry out at 120. This looks like it wants to deepen to my N/E.

 

Not for me , but I like this off to my N and W. 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

 

I wouldn't say that at all.
EURO could be showing snow at 33-34 for all we know and throwing off the algorithm.

Even as is, I think that would be an advisory level event in NYC.

Plus I NEVER rule anything out that's within 100 miles on day 5.

That's why I hated being right on the borderline on the cold models for MLK day.

If I had 100 miles to work with, it could have been something much different.

I agree. The track reminds me of the retrogading storm of Feb 2010 but this run was slightly further west than that.

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6 minutes ago, Manny said:

 Is there still a signal for the 2/2-2/4 period?

ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_10.png

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4 minutes ago, Manny said:

 Is there still a signal for the 2/2-2/4 period?

Weather Model

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Wow a warning event in DC.. 4-7 inches on the Euro. It is the only model, but I would much rather it be the Euro than the GFS/CMC/FV3. Now we wait until 4:30 for 18Z GFS and 5:45 for 18Z FV3. Will they cave to the Euro.  Just need a 50-75 mile shift. 

 

image.png.47291cc3d02fb6d5ed03e56b3420ec8a.png

 

image.png.ca44b2292d71aa88a82e750e0902e72e.png

 

image.png.187e22c5764a4af3d52ebef4bc74bc89.png

 

image.png.555a49dad678f213d806e994b71b6aa6.png

 

image.png.5f6e008219ae49659e78619904dbf80b.png

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3 minutes ago, CCB! said:

Flying back from PHX on 2/4, so of course this will be the big one...

index.gif

I know I shouldn’t ask but I will lol. Wouldn’t this be warmer look? 

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