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NJwxguy78

Eastern US 2/24 - 2/25 High- Impact Weather Event

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
422 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-103-NYZ068>070-240930-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
422 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Pockets of freezing rain are possible tonight. This will be capable
of producing localized hazardous travel.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong low pressure passing through the Great Lakes and into
southeastern Canada Sunday and Monday is expected to produce strong
winds across the area late Sunday night and Monday. While winds are
currently expected to range primarily between 25-35 mph with gusts
between 40-55 mph, there is a low potential for damaging wind gusts
of up to 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

$$

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1 minute ago, NJwxguy78 said:
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High Wind Watch


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
618 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-232300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.A.0001.190224T2300Z-190225T2300Z/
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cecil-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-
Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-
Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-
Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown,
Rehoboth Beach, Elkton, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton,
Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville,
New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville,
Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson,
Millville, Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City,
Atlantic City, Long Beach Island, Wharton State Forest,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Media,
Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square,
Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont,
Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
618 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with 45 to 55 mph gusts.

* TIMING...A surge of winds late Sunday afternoon and early
  Sunday evening may result in gusts up to 45 mph. Otherwise,
  the strongest winds will affect the area late Sunday night
  through Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power
  lines. Scattered power outages are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ground is quite saturated, and rainfall
  this weekend, generally ranging from 1/2 to 1 inch across the
  northern half of the forecast area and from 1 to 1 1/2 inches
  across the southern half of the forecast area will add to this.
  It will not take much wind to result in downed trees and power
  lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardous
high wind event. Sustained winds of at least 40 mph, or gusts of
58 mph or stronger may occur. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$

MPS


 

Read the discussion out of Upton this morning, they weren't quite ready to pull the trigger on a High Wind Watch just yet and may be leaning more towards a Wind Advisory instead. Also, heavy rain is likely later tonight thru the first half of tomorrow producing anywhere from 0.50"-1.50"

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5 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

I love how you read Mount Holly's discussion and they say the strongest winds will be in the northern half of their area.

Then you flip over to Upton's discussion and they say the strongest winds will be over Southern NJ.

Great collaboration between both offices lol.

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Get your generators ready.

 

 

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14b59222-26f2-4e00-baee-96f96df353f6.gif

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Mt.Holly has extended the High Wind Watch time here which is now in effect from tomorrow afternoon thru Monday afternoon. Gusts up to 55 mph possible.

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High Wind Watch now is effect for the Upton CWA from Sunday evening thru Monday afternoon. Gusts up to 60 mph possible.

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5 minutes ago, WxLover said:

image.png.4d6e9ea7e989e616b9e7ae230a5f58bb.png

I am actually a bit surprised they held with a High Wind Watch for eastern zones and went with the warning in western zones. I will assume that will be extended east in the morning.

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Last time we had a High Wind Warning here was March 1st of last year and we all know that didn't end well in NW, NJ when the whole power grid failed.

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well i have a high wind watch for wind gusts possibly 60 Mph on monday . OOF! thats pretty gusty 

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8 minutes ago, WxLover said:

Last time we had a High Wind Warning here was March 1st of last year and we all know that didn't end well in NW, NJ when the whole power grid failed.

There was also the problem of it being coincident with a major nor'easter. This time winds follow precipitation so impact won't be as severe but still a bad deal regardless.

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3 minutes ago, Henry said:

well i have a high wind watch for wind gusts possibly 60 Mph on monday . OOF! thats pretty gusty 

Pretty much the whole NE almost..PA,NY,NJ..

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1 minute ago, Crossbowftw3 said:

There was also the problem of it being coincident with a major nor'easter. This time it'll follow precipitation so impact won't be as severe but still a bad deal regardless.

Ground is very saturated.  It's gonna be a problem regardless. 

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46 minutes ago, MatthewFerreirawx said:

Pretty much the whole NE almost..PA,NY,NJ..

And even more high wind statements going back into the Midwestern States. Could be the most impressive storm we see all winter. 

 

Good news is that after Monday and up until next weekend we'll have no major weather of note for what'll certainly be a dayslong cleanup process 

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