Friday (3/1) & Saturday (3/2) -- SN- & Sneaky Coastal - Page 17 - Historical Threads - 33andrain Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Yaakov

Friday (3/1) & Saturday (3/2) -- SN- & Sneaky Coastal

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, rb924119 said:

Dude lol I agreed with you, but the stipulation is that the snow cover needs to be deeper in order to be able to have the effect because of the increased radiation absorption this time of year being able to melt more snow. Two inches of snow in March does not last long, even if it’s cloudy, with temps near freezing because there is still a net increase in insolation absorption by the surface. If the snowpack is sufficiently deep so as to mitigate this, then yes, absolutely your point is valid.

OK, we are on the same page, maybe we just disagree re: tomorrow as I think we will retain coverage through to the start of the next event (or rather, I hope). :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think the GFS is too warm. Looks to get Scranton to above freezing. The GFS is probably the warmest it can get imo.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, MJOP8 said:

I think the GFS is too warm. Looks to get Scranton to above freezing. The GFS is probably the warmest it can get imo.

GFS is scouring out any residual CAD, which there will be. The improved dynamics are a good sign IMO. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, MJOP8 said:

inxr1Kunva_h.gif

inxr1Kpita_h.gif

 

Looks good for c-1 in the city and central/southern NJ later on. Hopefully it doesn’t get shredded up too bad by the time it gets here

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, samsara2 said:

GFS is scouring out any residual CAD, which there will be. The improved dynamics are a good sign IMO. 

 

The intensity and timing of the precipitation argues against the warm GFS imo. In situations like this, I would trust the NAM moreso than the GFS. Just my opinion.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, LHVwx said:

 

Looks good for c-1 in the city and central/southern NJ later on. Hopefully it doesn’t get shredded up too bad by the time it gets here

Dewpies are under 10F across the metro on NNE Winds. I think coating at best. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, MJOP8 said:

 

The intensity and timing of the precipitation argues against the warm GFS imo. In situations like this, I would trust the NAM moreso than the GFS. Just my opinion.

What do you mean "the timing?"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, FlemingtonPhil said:

Dewpies are under 10F across the metro on NNE Winds. I think coating at best. 

 

Yea, anything more than a coating will likely only be found in SEPA & SNJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, FlemingtonPhil said:

What do you mean "the timing?"

 

Start time. This looks to move in at night. That in combination with the precipitation intensity would help to cool the column imo.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, MJOP8 said:

 

Start time. This looks to move in at night. That in combination with the precipitation intensity would help to cool the column imo.

The NAM knows when nighttime is but the GFS doesn't?

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
44 minutes ago, FlemingtonPhil said:

Dewpies are under 10F across the metro on NNE Winds. I think coating at best. 

Based on radar trends and with decent  ratios more like coating to an inch with 2” with any presistant banding. (NYC area) 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, LowerHudsWXGeek said:

0z HRDPS for Saturday, just beautiful!

 

 

for most of us (as depicted) that's the 100th rain storm in the last 90 days.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Current temp 30/DP 14/RH 40%

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EURO more amped than 12z by a lot, much more moist, NYC borderline at hr 30

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

00z EURO is basically 1F from a significant hit in NYC. Through 12z SAT it has gone from .3" total (both events from 12z run) to .5" mostly snow. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...