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March 3-4, 2019 -- Back to Back Snow?


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I’m sorry guys, I’m emotional tonight. Not just because it’s snowing but because I lost my brother to drugs last November. He loved snow just as much I do. We used to make home made videos together wh

I am under the influence that this will be a potentially major event for the NYC metro. Favorable trends have occurred over the last week for multiple model cycles on both global and mesoscale modelin

The chain of causality for this event is quite interesting, and ultimately, the tertiary cause of the improvements in track denoted in modelling is a slight/subtle correction toward more geopotential

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4 minutes ago, 33andrain said:

Ruh roh. 15z SREFs cut back buy a good amount it seems. Both the ARWs and the NMBs. Definitely didn't expect and definitely didn't want to see that.

As in they are farther west? Or just decrease in total QPF? 

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What concerns me a bit is the Euro/EPS low track is now more aligned with the other models...now south of Fire Island, and yet the more amplified s/w is bringing in more and more mid level warmth.

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1 minute ago, 33andrain said:

What concerns me a bit is the Euro/EPS low track is now more aligned with the other models...now south of Fire Island, and yet the more amplified s/w is bringing in more and more mid level warmth.

The lack of @earthlight posts is concerning he was talking a couple days ago how evenwith a near perfect track the mid levels flood with warm air

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