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March 3-4, 2019 -- Back to Back Snow?


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I’m sorry guys, I’m emotional tonight. Not just because it’s snowing but because I lost my brother to drugs last November. He loved snow just as much I do. We used to make home made videos together wh

I am under the influence that this will be a potentially major event for the NYC metro. Favorable trends have occurred over the last week for multiple model cycles on both global and mesoscale modelin

The chain of causality for this event is quite interesting, and ultimately, the tertiary cause of the improvements in track denoted in modelling is a slight/subtle correction toward more geopotential

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11 minutes ago, snywx said:

Looks like Upton just updated and isn't sold on an I-95 special.. I think they start shifting these amounts SE by 0z tonight..

 

Screen Shot 2019-03-02 at 12.44.24 PM.png

Screen Shot 2019-03-02 at 12.44.54 PM.png

@snywx Where do you think the bullseye of heavy snow might be?

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Just now, 33andrain said:

Shocked the euro went NW. Shocked I tell ya. :) 

Think there is any merit to a bump NW at the last minute? HRDPS showed some signs of that. I am doubting it though. We have been progressive all season. I don’t see any reason to believe this shifts N and W as we move forward. 

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1 hour ago, 33andrain said:

I think this will tick NW another 20-25 miles before game time...jackpot will be i95 and just NW if there. Someone will see 9...maybe 10”. Will be hard to get more than that. 

:) 

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5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Wow. Mixing issues 

 

Just based on how the 0 line goes up and then back down, I would say it probably goes to sleet and then back to snow.

Obviously, it's just a guess and I would need a full sounding to tell.

But like @PB GFI said, it's a pretty big outlier.

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1 minute ago, swamplover56 said:

You buy mixing by us?


Maybe with sleet, not much more than that.

But I am leaning toward all snow, because the ECMWF is the warmest of all guidance.

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