Eastern US Met Autumn 2019 Observations and Discussions - Page 54 - Forecasting and Discussion - 33andrain Weather Discussion Community Jump to content
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Eastern US Met Autumn 2019 Observations and Discussions

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34 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

Saturday is starting to look like a good coastal storm.

Cmc has a storm on Sunday 

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6 minutes ago, Snowman11 said:

Cmc has a storm on Sunday 

The CMC has it as more of a cutter type system.  The ECMWF seems to like it more Sunday, but as a coastal.

 

ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_9.png

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Steady light to moderate rain falling here.

Picked up 0.23" of rain so far today.

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31 minutes ago, Snowman11 said:

What a bust by the Gfs and Euro. Nam schooled them.


Yup

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And NWS wants to defund the NAM.  I think they need to rethink that.

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2 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

And NWS wants to defund the NAM.  I think they need to rethink that.

The NWS relies on the GFS way to much and weighs their forecasts heavily on it which is a mistake IMO.

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Just now, Rtd208 said:

The NWS relies on the GFS way to much and weighs their forecasts heavily on it which is a mistake IMO.

 

Well, we have other globals, but it's good to have an American alternative.

There has always been more than one American operational model.

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4 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

And NWS wants to defund the NAM.  I think they need to rethink that.

They said in the release that they won’t discontinue it until the GFS improves in several areas that the NAM is consistently better at...so, probably years.  The ensembles were rainier than the GFS and Euro op a few days out. 

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Just now, OHweather said:

They said in the release that they won’t discontinue it until the GFS improves in several areas that the NAM is consistently better at...so, probably years.  The ensembles were rainier than the GFS and Euro op a few days out. 

 

Yes, but they should never discontinue it, unless there are plans for an alternative.

There has always been more than one American model run, even if you go back to the days of the NGM and LFM.

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