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Snowy Hibbo

Long Range Pattern Drivers & Evolution Thread

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1 minute ago, Snowman11 said:

Agree . This is a great look out west.

Agree with your agreement. 👍

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what's with todays ao forecast....I never saw a disconnect like this before'''

ao 1122.gif

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May lose the good Atlantic but get a good pacific. 

45F506BE-0506-492D-B62A-67F826F6ABE6.png

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Hypothetically, this would be close. Check out that -EPO and, more importantly, where it is centered. Roll this forward and you have quite the setup for an EC snow event, especially for the Mid-Atlantic.

 

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5439200.png

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1 hour ago, Snowman11 said:

Cmc has a much better block than the gfs

 

6 minutes ago, Snowman11 said:

Euro setting up a nice block next weekend like the CMC 

 

 

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16 minutes ago, PB GFI said:

The - EPO is real.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_5day-5720000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-t850_anom_5day-5720000.png

EJ_r4yZX0AIUUT5.jpeg.jpg

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_5day-5720000.png

Pretty big difference in the ridge axis. The EPS is far less favorable than the GEFS and Canadian. Today’s EPS in the LR was a step backward. Yes 2m temps look good but you can tell the pattern was going to regress beyond. 

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