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brooklynwx99

December 1-2, 2019 -- Winter Storm Discussion and Observations

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The Canadian,  UKMET and EPS are all fine for this time of the year and for those away from the coast where there is elevation I think it's a really nice early show.

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Eps mean and control being this close in structures and surface modeling is a huge red flag to me, especially this far out... Eps is locked on

 

 

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5 hours ago, snywx said:

@NSFW Weather Guy Looks like the Euro OP still drops 6-8" in the HV. The HV seems to be bullseye early on with most major guidance. 

a lot of that's eaten up by poor thermal modeling too, i think north of rockland is all snow, maybe a period of sleet in areas of subsidence during weaker rates, but mostly snow 

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Here's the control run and where I think the 2 inch line ends up. 

 

But wow if that happens, I am rooting for you guys, that is a great storm this early. 

20191128_070655.png

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11 minutes ago, NSFW Weather Guy said:

06z euro was significantly Cooler as the Ull is South yet again- 

 

Warm tongue close to surface but barely... this mostly snow even to city 

2C7D1279-7626-4493-9F83-2B70E045BC84.png

C97CAE0D-2A16-48DB-B784-54B84EA918D4.png

46364326-3E6E-4BFA-9BD4-1326185EF59E.png

 

7FE1D512-14C2-4E1F-9633-C8F629354DB9.gif

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1 minute ago, SnowMapster said:

ugly

It only goes out to hour 90 bud

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