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December 1-2, 2019 -- Winter Storm Discussion and Observations


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2 minutes ago, Event Horizon said:

SW Bronx will be fine. I'm concerned about NE Bronx. 

 

I wouldn't be too concerned. The HRRR has trended NE every run and the RGEM focuses the mega band over NYC. We'll see how things develop.

 

hrrr_apcpn_neus_fh16_trend.gif.fc5ca842ca45bec640f91f5475327246.gif

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Umm. I’ve never been high on this event, but I’m doing some analysis on mobile and I’m seeikg some major red flags here. I might be totally off base, as I’ve been awake for almost 30 hours now, but he

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Mid-level lapse rates are fairly steep across SWNJ into PA. It'll be interesting to see how much these advect east as the day wears on... This increases the likelihood of someone seeing thundersnow under the more intense bands.

 

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