Weathergun 1,881 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Watch how much of the blocking over the Davis Strait and ridging over the Rockies has trended stronger since Wednesday. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, NSFW Weather Guy said: GFS looks more like euro now, less front end snow due to detached vort inconsistencies between every models, but rain doesn't make it past I84 now generally impressive CAD signature on GFS now, we usually see these modeled runs in this timeframe underestimating cold Disagree that the euro and gfs are similar. The Gfs is the only model that is that light with WAA precipitation. This effects the mid levels greatly down towards the coast Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Weathergun said: Watch how the blocking over the Davis Strait and ridging over the Rockies has trending stronger since Wednesday. Yep, it’s going towards the euro. Remember when the gfs was phasing the TPV in? Lol Quote Link to post Share on other sites
NSFW Weather Guy 10,061 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Disagree that the euro and gfs are similar. The Gfs is the only model that is that light with WAA precipitation. This effects the mid levels greatly down towards the coast i'm referring more so to a trend towards a euro type solution, as oppose to the GFS solutions we've seen, no they're not currently similar, but the GFS has trended towards the euro, Gfs rained to albany with 850s surging most of the previous runs, it's slowing down the trail vort... lead vort variable for front end snow is gonna fluctuate, based on the main southern shortwaves trough axes/speed/strength etc Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, NSFW Weather Guy said: i'm referring more so to a trend towards a euro type solution, as oppose to the GFS solutions we've seen, no they're not currently similar, but the GFS has trended towards the euro, Gfs rained to albany with 850s surging most of the previous runs, it's slowing down the trail vort... lead vort variable for front end snow is gonna fluctuate, based on the main southern shortwaves trough axes/speed/strength etc Gotcha! Sorry for misunderstanding. Let it snow! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
NSFW Weather Guy 10,061 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just now, Allsnow said: Gotcha! Sorry for misunderstanding. Let it snow! yea yea, lead WAA is always stronger and faster than modeled, some of this guidance is holding it back a bit too far imo, which is why we see a lot of ice and or dry slitting, we're splitting the stream overhead, we should see lead wave front end thump, colder follow up, it's a classic SWFE Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Crossbowftw3 571 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, NSFW Weather Guy said: yea yea, lead WAA is always stronger and faster than modeled, some of this guidance is holding it back a bit too far imo, which is why we see a lot of ice and or dry slitting, we're splitting the stream overhead, we should see lead wave front end thump, colder follow up, it's a classic SWFE So what's the plan for us inland folk? I'd think 2-4" and .10-.25 (iso .3 or more) ice seems most probable Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
NSFW Weather Guy 10,061 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Crossbowftw3 said: So what's the plan for us inland folk? I'd think 2-4" and .10-.25 (iso .3 or more) ice seems most probable seems reasonable Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Thundersnow3765 2,669 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Big icing... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Thundersnow3765 said: Big icing... Colder then 0z for the metro. 1-3 of snow then ice. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 @NSFW Weather Guy Quote Link to post Share on other sites
NSFW Weather Guy 10,061 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: @NSFW Weather Guy check plz Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Thundersnow3765 2,669 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 oof Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BMC10 1,876 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: @NSFW Weather Guy 63 and 66 please. Thank you! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just now, BMC10 said: 63 and 66 please. Thank you! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Allsnow 41,972 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
WxAlex 30 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 It seems possible that temperatures north of I-287 may hover around freezing into the early morning rush hours of Tuesday.... however looks like a worst case scenario. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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