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Current Observations: Met Winter 20-21


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Good morning all from Starkville, MS! Yep, Mississippi that is, where i’m at currently finishing up my degree, and already my semester begins today, although classes have already been cancelled! Crazy

Always reppin   

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2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nam had me in the 40’s today and i

max out in the mid 50’s

it only got to 51 here and has been in the 40s since 1 PM.

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Just now, Analog96 said:

it only got to 51 here and has been in the 40s since 1 PM.

That said though, the NAM does tend to overdo sea breezes a bit.  It's always been a bias.

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10 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

it only got to 51 here and has been in the 40s since 1 PM.

Only a 10 degree bust  from the Nam. If this was winter people would be trashing it 

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1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Only a 10 degree bust  from the Nam. If this was winter people would be trashing it 

There are no sea breezes in winter.  It wouldn't have happened.  The NAM has always been over-aggressive with sea breezes.

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KPHL said take tomorrow’s highs and go up 5! 
 

Quiet weather Thursday as spring warmth surges into the area with 
high pressure building southward along the East Coast. Increasing 
subsidence as a jet exit region moves overhead will add to the 
increasing WAA on the return flow side of the high to yield what 
will likely be the warmest temperatures we have seen yet this year. 
Models usually struggle with these patterns and we saw evidence of 
this already yesterday with highs being up to 5 degrees higher than 
the overall model consensus. 
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37 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

KPHL said take tomorrow’s highs and go up 5! 
 


Quiet weather Thursday as spring warmth surges into the area with 
high pressure building southward along the East Coast. Increasing 
subsidence as a jet exit region moves overhead will add to the 
increasing WAA on the return flow side of the high to yield what 
will likely be the warmest temperatures we have seen yet this year. 
Models usually struggle with these patterns and we saw evidence of 
this already yesterday with highs being up to 5 degrees higher than 
the overall model consensus. 

70 easily most locales

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1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Nam had me in the 40’s today and i

max out in the mid 50’s

 

I hope Saturday turns out a bit warmer that it looks right now. 

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1 hour ago, Analog96 said:

There are no sea breezes in winter.  It wouldn't have happened.  The NAM has always been over-aggressive with sea breezes.

 

Sometimes it does well with picking up the more nuanced wind shifts that can happen around the NYC area during spring. 

 

So while the temp might not drop as much as it says, it does drop due to the model picking up the wind shift. 

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