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The 2020 Election -- Joe Biden Declared Winner 11/7


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1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

 

Are the 50M+ in person or absentee voting?  In NYS for example you can request an absentee ballot, fill it out and mail back, then change your mind and vote in person instead.  So you can change your vote.  That's why I am curious if these are in person or mail-in, since other states may be similar to NYS.

 

In case any is curious, here's NYS's site:

 

https://www.elections.ny.gov/votingabsentee.html

 

You Can Still Vote in Person if You Request an Absentee Ballot

Even if you request or cast and return an absentee ballot, you may still go to the polls and vote in person. The Election Law recognizes that plans change. The Board of Elections is required to check the poll book before canvassing any absentee ballot. If the voter comes to the poll site, on Election Day or during early voting and votes in person, the absentee ballot is set aside and not counted.

 

The numbers I had looked at it were a mix of early in person voting and RETURNED mail in ballots. (not requests) - Ironically NY and HI  is not included in the data at all, and that may very well be why. 85M have requested ballots. 

 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

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Here’s to hoping the next time we have a 296 page thread, we are tracking a HECS within 96 hours on all models. 

Btw... this is a great core group of political junkies we have posting in here. It’s been very informative and we’ve been... mostly well behaved... present company excluded.  Wanted to thank everyone

Nancy Pelosi becomes president and Kamala Harris becomes VP.  Tuen the borders open, Christmas becomes more illegal, and death panels reopen as everyone is issued antifa hats and feminazi pills.

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4 minutes ago, fireguy286 said:

 

The numbers I had looked at it were a mix of early in person voting and RETURNED mail in ballots. (not requests) - Ironically NY and HI  is not included in the data at all, and that may very well be why. 85M have requested ballots. 

 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

 

Thanks, shows 16.2 in person & 36.3 absentee.  Wonder if other states are like NY with absentee voters being able to show up in person and change their vote, should they wish.  Doubt anyone does that though.

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8 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

 

Thanks, shows 16.2 in person & 36.3 absentee.  Wonder if other states are like NY with absentee voters being able to show up in person and change their vote, should they wish.  Doubt anyone does that though.

Interesting, 16 states + DC will let you vote provisionally in person if you requested a mail in ballot and never returned it (few different details in the process). NY is alone in appearing to let you vote by mail, send it in, vote again on election day to change your mind. The rest - if it's received, you're done. 

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Not to stir the pot on this stuff but I’m genuinely interested objectively knowing what the deal is but...doesn’t seem to hold together. 

 

So if I’m reading this right: No deal, no money, no actual involvement? ...and this was 2017 so not in office? Where’s the fire?
 

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hunter-biden-tony-bobulinski-joe-biden-unanswered-questions.amp

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11 hours ago, fireguy286 said:

Not to stir the pot on this stuff but I’m genuinely interested objectively knowing what the deal is but...doesn’t seem to hold together. 

 

So if I’m reading this right: No deal, no money, no actual involvement? ...and this was 2017 so not in office? Where’s the fire?
 

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hunter-biden-tony-bobulinski-joe-biden-unanswered-questions.amp


 

There is nothing there related to Joe Biden. It’s a losing argument to try to lower his very high favorables. 

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So I read a bit about election night timelines and I’m trying to figure out what the best path to 270 is for each. Much has been written about North Carolina because they count reliably and quickly. Basically if Biden puts away NC shortly after the polls close, the polls are all right & he’ll be declared the winner at 11pm. Trump’s best path is a little murkier, because it comes through states that are slow to count. 
 

Here is the most likely path to victory for each, IMO. There aren’t any paths that result in an early election night for Trump. The blue map assumes current polling is correct. The red map assumes my Trump surge voter idea is correct. 
 


 

 

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That 60 minutes interview with the President is not that bad, it is typical trump-speak and Stahl didn't do a great job either.  And he left 5 minutes early at a natural breaking point.  I am not voting for Trump even though I am a republican, but early hysteria about the interview is blown way out of proportion.

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Also, I really believe Trump would win this if he could speak coherently on Covid.  When asked about the new daily case count, he went on his standard rant about we test too much, it sounds like he is saying we should stop testing.  I don't believe he wants that, he just comes across that way.

 

I wish he could trust the public to understand the math if he would just explain the situation better - we test more, so there are more cases, but also American people - the percentage of cases that come back positive are on the rise and we need to reverse this trend.  Instead he has the air of just blowing it off with no concern whatsoever - I honestly don't understand that strategy.

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26 minutes ago, Rygar said:

Also, I really believe Trump would win this if he could speak coherently on Covid.  When asked about the new daily case count, he went on his standard rant about we test too much, it sounds like he is saying we should stop testing.  I don't believe he wants that, he just comes across that way.

 

I wish he could trust the public to understand the math if he would just explain the situation better - we test more, so there are more cases, but also American people - the percentage of cases that come back positive are on the rise and we need to reverse this trend.  Instead he has the air of just blowing it off with no concern whatsoever - I honestly don't understand that strategy.

He is thickheaded. I agree about you that he should be speaking up more since he contacted the virus.

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1 hour ago, WxInTheHeights said:

Tried to vote early today - wasn't happening. Line was three times wrapped around. Will try to go tomorrow when I'm off work.

 

My brother tried in Bayside.  The wait was several hours.

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Trump just showed a video at his rally of Biden and Sanders arguing at the debate. Sanders scolded Biden because Biden lied about cutting social security . Biden said in the past he wants to cut social security.

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Trump just finished his rally in NC and now is going to Ohio and then Wisconsin  tonight 

 

People chanted " we love you " during trumps rally in NC. After it was over , Trump was dancing. 

 

They also showed Biden's  rally. No one was there.

 

Obama is also doing a rally in Miami.  

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