wdrag 1,540 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 22 minutes ago, Oliviajames3 said: Awesome stuff Walt. Please post more about this ice threat. I am in Berks County and I think we are in the threat zone. Hrrr rap euronhave is in heavy ice and other models much less. Still have large snowpack No doubt problems. While warm rain aloft conducts warmth down, and freezing rain rates too high to maximize accumulation, still worthy of monitoring for damage. Ground frozen so even IF at 33F, ground will continue icing. Link to post Share on other sites
CCB! 35,186 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Keith O said: Speaking for here in NW NJ, very concerned for tomorrow night. JCP&L better have their crews, out of state help and contracted tree services deployed throughout this area on Mon evening so they are ready to respond on Tue AM. They have no excuse to get caught with their pants down as this has been on the table for several days now. Agreed. The one thing I'd add is, unfortunately, sister company crews across the SE/OHV already have their hands full with their own icing problems. So it's going to be difficult to move in reinforcements as manpower will already be stretched thin. Link to post Share on other sites
Keith O 154 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, CCB! said: Agreed. The one thing I'd add is, unfortunately, sister company crews across the SE/OHV already have their hands full with their own icing problems. So it's going to be difficult to move in reinforcements as manpower will already be stretched thin. Very true .. still need to have their entire workforce pre-deployed in this part of their service area. Link to post Share on other sites
HunterdonWx86 651 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Like in these close call events wind direction will be important in areas away from the coast. If winds stay NNE or NE this can have a major impact in forecasts late Monday night into early Tuesday Link to post Share on other sites
Colette11 186 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 10 minutes ago, Keith O said: Very true .. still need to have their entire workforce pre-deployed in this part of their service area. Im here in SW West Virginia and Appalachian Power still has 14,000 without power and Kentucky has 11,000 without power. I’m 1 hour from Ohio and Kentucky border in that corner where all 3 states meet. It’s all very rural here so 14,000 is a big area. Were gonna have a rough few days here and people are setting up their generators. We’ve had ours ready to go since the ice we had this past week which has not melted. Link to post Share on other sites
Rtd208 3,578 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, HunterdonWx86 said: Like in these close call events wind direction will be important in areas away from the coast. If winds stay NNE or NE this can have a major impact in forecasts late Monday night into early Tuesday We have seen that before even closer to the immediate NYC metro. A shorter period of frozen precipitation was prolonged even by several hours due to the wind direction remaining out of the NNE/NE. Link to post Share on other sites
HunterdonWx86 651 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Rtd208 said: We have seen that before even closer to the immediate NYC metro. A shorter period of frozen precipitation was prolonged even by several hours due to the wind direction remaining out of the NNE/NE. Always something to keep an eye on Link to post Share on other sites
SnowMapster 359 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, Adam said: Triple ouch How good are these models? Link to post Share on other sites
jjvesnow 167 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 In my experience freezing rain doesn’t get to crazy unless the temp is 29 and below. Especially during the day time. Unless we are talk a light mist with temps in the low 30’s. Different story. Link to post Share on other sites
Thundersnow3765 2,669 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, SnowMapster said: How good are these models? They make up 3/5 of the HREF suite, but I can't speak to any biases they may have. The other two in the suite are the NAM and HRRR. Link to post Share on other sites
Oliviajames3 1,322 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, jjvesnow said: In my experience freezing rain doesn’t get to crazy unless the temp is 29 and below. Especially during the day time. Meh. This is coming at night for many Link to post Share on other sites
Winterwxnj 90 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Oliviajames3 said: Meh. This is coming at night for many Also, the ground is already totally frozen. It's been below freezing for days. Link to post Share on other sites
jjvesnow 167 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, Winterwxnj said: Also, the ground is already totally frozen. It's been below freezing for days. Nothing Salt can’t cure. 31 and moderate rain won’t accumulate much in trees Link to post Share on other sites
djdude2122 378 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 20 minutes ago, Adam said: Triple ouch We may be in trouble here in Northampton County if it does not just plain rain... Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post Snowman11 18,207 Posted February 14 Popular Post Share Posted February 14 Gfs going towards the euro with a front end thump for Thursday Link to post Share on other sites
MI Storm 1,943 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Def looking a little more messy for this threat. Hopefully no one ends up getting a lot of ice. Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post Peakbagger46 2,081 Posted February 14 Popular Post Share Posted February 14 Very nice shift here on the 12Z GFS towards a colder solution for Thursday. Lets hope we can maintain that high over the top in the coming days. IMO, everyone north of the Mason Dixon Line has a pretty good shot at significant overrunning snow with this setup. I apologize if this is not in the correct thread. Link to post Share on other sites
MI Storm 1,943 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 30 minutes ago, Colette11 said: Im here in SW West Virginia and Appalachian Power still has 14,000 without power and Kentucky has 11,000 without power. I’m 1 hour from Ohio and Kentucky border in that corner where all 3 states meet. It’s all very rural here so 14,000 is a big area. Were gonna have a rough few days here and people are setting up their generators. We’ve had ours ready to go since the ice we had this past week which has not melted. Sounds messy down there. Was watching a webcam in VA and could hear crashing branches and sirens last night. Very eerie. Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post IsaacWxObserver 2,017 Posted February 14 Popular Post Share Posted February 14 Thursday-Friday storm trending colder. Link to post Share on other sites
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