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Met Winter 2021 Second Half Threats


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It’s finally done. 

Ukie is a snowstorm for Thursday 

i wouldn't count on the north trend being over 

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26 minutes ago, SnowMapster said:

How good are these models?

If I'm not mistaken, those models (WRFs) are usually too amped, in my experience they aren't the most accurate, usually showed too much snow for the last few storms. One reason they have so much ZR is because all 3 bring the storm in Monday afternoon instead of Tuesday, so earlier start time = more time precipitating under freezing. Probably worst-case scenario is what they are depicting, long-duration freezing rain from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. 

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3 minutes ago, SnowMapster said:

Hasn't this model done really well with the last few storms? 

It's a good model in general. 

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20 minutes ago, WxLover said:

Looks cold... (Tuesday)

qpf_001h_mean_ptype.ne.f04000.png

Looks slightly colder than HRRR for same time frame, maybe a sign of more low level cold? 

image.png.0651093e71c660cb041bbe948e420180.png

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