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February 18-19, 2021 Winter Storm

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after the 12z suite, my confidence for a significant snowfall event has increased throughout the metro   globals are likely underdoing the precip amounts. there is an anomalous 250mb jet, an

if anemic means a widespread 6-8”, sign me up please 

IMO, this is a 6-12" snowfall for a large area. 8-12" for much of the NYC metro. Areas closer to NYC can stop referring to this as a front end thump because most of the system will in fact be snow, wi

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That lingering TPV is key for us to see a significant amount of snow out of this.  It's been improving.......  The longer it stays north of us and at or west of 50/50 is major.   If it runs off quicker the system will have room to amp and push NW..



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6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

GEFS is wayyyy less amped


the TPV is really compressing heights. many more coastals as a result


gfs-ens_z500_vort_us_fh66_trend (1).gifgfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_fh84_trend.gif

Really turning into a Miller a here. Just hope it doesn’t push too far lol

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  • CCB! changed the title to February 18-19, 2021 Winter Storm
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