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Current Observations: Spring/Summer 2021


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50* high today  2.05" as of 3pm.

Came to the shore=BRUTAL!

NE WIND DRIVEN RAIN AND 51*.

Would have been a HECS if a winter storm...

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Yay!

Just got a flurry here in the poconos...

From Thursdays storms pics from my neighbors.    

Posted Images

Picked up 1.14" of rain for the day.

Storm total so far 2.26"

Current temp 49

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Morning thoughts...

 

Today will be mostly cloudy and very cool. Periods of rain and showers are likely. Numerous areas could set daily record low maximum temperatures. Temperatures will likely top out in the lower and middle 50s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 52°

Newark: 54°

Philadelphia: 53°

 

Rain will end tomorrow morning. It will become milder.

 

Record low maximum temperatures for May 30 for select locations:

 

Allentown: 52°, 1953

Atlantic City: 58°, 1953 and 1971

Binghamton: 45°, 1953

Bridgeport: 58°, 1953

Farmingdale: 59°, 2017

Harrisburg: 58°, 1915 and 1953

Hartford: 55°, 1953

Islip: 60°, 2017

Mount Pocono: 53°, 1924

New Haven: 57°, 1953

New York City-JFK: 57°, 1953

New York City-LGA: 58°, 1950

New York City-NYC: 55°, 1884

Newark: 53°, 1953

Philadelphia: 59°, 1918

Poughkeepsie: 52°, 1953

Scranton: 52°, 1953

Trenton: 54°, 1915

Westhampton: 58°, 2017

White Plains: 56°, 1953

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Record Low Maximum Temperatures: May 29, 2021


Atlantic City: 54°(old record: 56°, 1946)
Binghamton: 45° (old record: 50°, 1964)
Bridgeport: 52° (old record: 58°, 1950)
Farmingdale: 52° (old record: 59°, 2017)
Harrisburg: 52° (old record: 57°, 1990)
Hartford: 49° (old record: 51°, 1917) ***Latest-season high in the 40s***
Islip: 51° (old record: 58°, 2017)
Mount Pocono: 43° (old record: 53°, 1990) ***Coldest high so late in the season***
New Haven: 53° (old record: 58°, 2017)
New York City-JFK: 52° (old record: 57°, 1967)
New York City-LGA: 52° (old record: 58°, 1950)
New York City-NYC: 51° (tied record set in 1884) ***Coldest high so late in the season***
Newark: 52°(old record: 60°, 1940 and 1950)
Philadelphia: 54° (old record: 56°, 1884)
Poughkeepsie: 50° (old record: 58°, 1990 and 2017)
Scranton: 50°(old record: 56°, 1967)
Trenton: 50° (old record: 57°, 1901)
Westhampton: 51° (old record: 58°, 2017)
White Plains: 49° (old record: 58°, 2017) ***Latest-season high in the 40s***

 

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I think Feb 9-11, 1994 is a good analog for this storm, as far as the overall setup goes. Even if this happened in early april, we would have had major snowfall.

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Picked up 0.98" of rain so far today.

Storm total so far 3.24"

Current temp 51

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Picked up 1.12" of rain for the day yesterday.

Final storm total 3.38"

Current temp 50

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Morning thoughts...

 

Today will become partly sunny and warmer. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 69°

Newark: 74°

Philadelphia: 73°

 

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and still milder.

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Daily Record Low Maximum Temperatures for May 30:


Albany: 48° (old record: 51°, 1953)
Allentown: 51° (old record: 52°, 1953)
Atlantic City: 54°(old record: 58°, 1953 and 1971)
Baltimore: 57° (old record: 58°, 1915)
Boston: 51° (tied record set in 1901)
Bridgeport: 52° (old record: 58°, 1953)
Farmingdale: 52° (old record: 59°, 2017)
Glens Falls, NY: 53° (old record: 54°, 1984)
Harrisburg: 56 (old record: 58°, 1915 and 1953)
Hartford: 50° (old record: 55°, 1953)
Islip: 52° (old record: 60°, 2017)
Manchester: 51° (old record: 57°, 1968)
Milton, MA: 46° (old record: 51°, 2017)
Mount Pocono: 47° (old record: 53°, 1924)
New Brunswick: 50° (old record: 58°, 1918 and 1938)
New Haven: 53° (old record: 57°, 1953)
New York City-JFK: 52° (old record: 57°, 1953)
New York City-LGA: 52° (old record: 57°, 1953)
New York City-NYC: 51° (old record: 55°, 1884)
Newark: 53(tied record set in 1953)
Norfolk: 61° (tied record set in 1930)
Philadelphia: 53° (old record: 59°, 1918)
Poughkeepsie: 50° (old record: 52°, 1953)
Providence: 50° (old record: 53°, 1996)
Scranton: 52°(tied record set in 1953)
Sterling, VA: 57° (old record: 62°, 1971)
Trenton: 51 (old record: 54°, 1915)
Westfield, MA: 49° (old record: 60°, 1930 and 2017)
Westhampton: 51° (old record: 58°, 2017)
White Plains: 50° (old record: 56°, 1953)
Wilmington, DE: 53° (old record: 62°, 1953 and 1971)
Worcester: 47° (old record: 51°, 1996)

 

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5 minutes ago, NorEaster27 said:

Still not nice out and in the 50s

I am sure there is a difference between dover Delaware and white plains.

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Morning thoughts...

 

Today will be variably cloudy and mild. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 70s and even lower 80s across much of the region. Likely high temperatures include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 77°
Newark: 80°
Philadelphia: 78°

 

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and mild.

 

30-Day Verification:

 

New York City (Central Park):
Average daily forecast: 72.0°
Average temperature: 72.1°
Average error: 1.5°

 

Newark:
Average daily forecast: 74.5°
Average temperature: 74.8°
Average error: 1.5°

 

Philadelphia:
Average daily forecast: 74.6°
Average temperature: 74.2°
Average error: 1.3°

 

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It's still got a ways to go though today is an enormous improvement over the past 5 days. At least we made it back into the time of year we're in. But numerous showers and storms are likely to be more the picture than not for the next 3-5 days. Though the temperatures are up, the moisture is still going to be around in abundance.

WX/PT

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Morning thoughts...

 

Today will be partly to mostly cloudy and warm. Temperatures will likely top out in the middle and upper 70s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 75°

Newark: 79°

Philadelphia: 78°

 

Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with showers and thundershowers. A warming trend will commence on Friday and it could turn hot near the end of the weekend or just afterward.

 

By mid-June, New York City will likely have 5-7 days with a minimum temperature of 70° or above. The 1991-2020 average for June is 5.7 days. During the 1991-2020 period, the least was 0 days in 2009, while the most was 12 days in 2005 and 2010. 12 days is the record, which also occurred in 1943. Since records were first kept in 1869, there were 8 cases during which June saw 10 or more days with minimum temperatures of 70° or above. Four of those cases occurred in 2000 or later.

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