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Current Observations: Spring/Summer 2021


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1 hour ago, Jake302 said:

man it was so darn hot sitting outside at my graduation ceremony. I have finally graduated high school.


congratulations man!!! Now go fix the world! :) 

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Yay!

Just got a flurry here in the poconos...

From Thursdays storms pics from my neighbors.    

Posted Images

An educated gut feeling here also based on current model guidance # of 90+ degree days at Central Park this summer. There will be numerous mid-upper 80s days.

 

June--4.
July--5.
August--10.
September--2.
WX/PT
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4 minutes ago, fireguy286 said:

I've been in mid town all day - the CP sensor must be buried in the ground. 

Newark is just as bad on the other end.   They reported 96 today.  

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4 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

Newark is just as bad on the other end.   They reported 96 today.  

Yeah I know you've been on that one and would agree. 

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9 minutes ago, fireguy286 said:

Yeah I know you've been on that one and would agree. 

I hit 93 (barely) and I am practically in their shadow.

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Morning thoughts...

 

Today will be mostly sunny and hot. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 80 and lower 90s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 91°

Newark: 98°

Philadelphia: 95°

 

Tomorrow will be partly sunny and hot. Temperatures will likely run a few degrees cooler than today.

 

The following record high minimum temperatures could be tied or broken today:

 

Bridgeport: 65°, 2016, 2019 and 2020; Low through 8 am: 65°

Islip: 66°, 2016 and 2019; Low through 8 am: 66°

New York City-JFK: 67°, 1988 and 2016; Low through 8 am: 69°

New York City-LGA: 72°, 1966; Low through 8 am: 76°

Newark: 71°, 1981 and 2020; Low through 8 am: 71°

White Plains: 68°, 1966; Low through 8 am: 68°

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4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Morning thoughts...

 

Today will be mostly sunny and hot. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 80 and lower 90s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

 

New York City (Central Park): 91°

Newark: 98°

Philadelphia: 95°

 

Tomorrow will be partly sunny and hot. Temperatures will likely run a few degrees cooler than today.

 

The following record high minimum temperatures could be tied or broken today:

 

Bridgeport: 65°, 2016, 2019 and 2020; Low through 8 am: 65°

Islip: 66°, 2016 and 2019; Low through 8 am: 66°

New York City-JFK: 67°, 1988 and 2016; Low through 8 am: 69°

New York City-LGA: 72°, 1966; Low through 8 am: 76°

Newark: 71°, 1981 and 2020; Low through 8 am: 71°

White Plains: 68°, 1966; Low through 8 am: 68°

Are you using ewr's incorrect readings to make that forecast?

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6 minutes ago, Jake302 said:

92/70

I lived on the eastern shore for 2 years. I sure do not miss the high dew points you get down there.

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1 hour ago, dmillz25 said:

95 here

same

 

92 in the shade on my back porch which is painted white meaning it's a couple degrees cooler than if I go out into the backyard.

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3 hours ago, Analog96 said:

I lived on the eastern shore for 2 years. I sure do not miss the high dew points you get down there.

 

my area is going to be uninhabitable in the summer by 2100 (maybe not THAT dramatic) at the rate the dews are rising each year. It's scary to see climate change accelerating. The chesapeake bay regularly gets close to 90 degrees towards mid-late summer since the super el nino. it's never been this humid in the summer before.

 

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7 hours ago, Analog96 said:

Are you using ewr's incorrect readings to make that forecast?

I am judging the forecast against whatever EWR reports. Do you have a link to a known problem? I was not aware that a problem had arisen, but do not know all of what happens at all of the stations.

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2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

I am judging the forecast against whatever EWR reports. Do you have a link to a known problem? I was not aware that a problem had arisen, but do not know all of what happens at all of the stations.

Well I live less than 2 miles away and for years, my obs and theirs were spot on.  Now, every day, they are 2-5 degrees warmer.  I have reported the problem, but nobody really seems to care.

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14 minutes ago, Analog96 said:

Well I live less than 2 miles away and for years, my obs and theirs were spot on.  Now, every day, they are 2-5 degrees warmer.  I have reported the problem, but nobody really seems to care.

That’s a fair point. Actually, during the spring, my average error increased to around 2.5 degrees (1 degree cold bias on my estimates). I assumed that the issue resided with the weight I was giving to the new GFS. Maybe it had something to do with the site itself. Of course, I made an adjustment in late spring to deal with the issue of the cold bias. 

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